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अप्रैल से जनवरी तक घरेलू गोल्ड ईटीएफ से करीब 650 करोड़ रुपये निकल गए हैं। जनवरी में ही 35 करोड़ रुपये की निकासी हुई है। ये लगातार चौथा साल है जब गोल्ड ईटीएफ से निकासी हो रही है। गौर करने वाली बात ये है कि इस साल सोने में तेजी के बावजूद निवेशक ईटीएफ से पैसा निकाल रहे हैं। वित्त वर्ष 2017 में अबतक गोल्ड फंड के एयूएम में 11 फीसदी की गिरावट आ चुकी है।

 

 हालांकि सोने की चमक लगातार बढ़ती जा रही है और इसका दाम 3 महीने के ऊपरी स्तर पर चला गया है। फ्रांस में चुनाव और इसके यूरोपीय यूनियन से बाहर होने की अटकलों से सोने को सपोर्ट मिला है। ग्लोबल मार्केट में सोने का दाम 1240 डॉलर के पार चला गया है। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर सोना सपाट होकर 29,350 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। चांदी भी सपाट होकर 42,340 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रही है।

कल की गिरावट के बाद कच्चे तेल में तेजी आई है और भाव 0.5 फीसदी तक बढ़ गए हैं। एमसीएक्स पर कच्चा तेल 0.5 फीसदी उछलकर 3530 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। नैचुरल गैस भी 0.5 फीसदी बढ़कर 212.8 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है।

1. सोना एमसीएक्स (अप्रैल वायदा) : खरीदें - 29250, स्टॉपलॉस - 29130 और लक्ष्य - 29500

2. कच्चा तेल एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 3500, स्टॉपलॉस - 3450 और लक्ष्य - 3580

3. निकेल एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 695, स्टॉपलॉस - 685 और लक्ष्य - 720

Ramco Cements, formerly Madras Cements, has reported a growth of 28.35 % in its net profit after taxes (PAT) at Rs 151.88 crore for the October-December quarter of 2016, helped by reduced operating cost and improvement in the off-take of cement. 

 

The flagship company of the Ramco Group had posted the net profit of Rs 118.33 crore in the corresponding quarter of previous fiscal, said Ramco Cements in a filing to BSE on Tuesday. The total revenue of Chennai-based company rose by 18 % to Rs 1,113.14 crore in Q3 FY17 from Rs 943.04 crore in Q3 FY16. 

 

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In the quarter under review, the operating income of the company (EBITDA) climbed by 15.67 % to Rs 296.29 crore from Rs 256.14 crore in the same period last year. In a separate release, the company said that its board has approved the proposal of buyback of its fully paid up equity shares for an aggregate amount not exceeding Rs 180 crores. Meanwhile, shares of company were trading at Rs 680.00 apiece, down 4.84%, from previous close on the BSE. 

The London Metal Exchange (LME) is the futures exchange with the world’s largest market in options and futures contracts on base and other metals. LME Inventory Reports Contains Previous Day Closing Stock of Commodities held in London Metal Exchange. Below are the Updated LME Inventory Today Report. Here is Todays MCX LME INVENTORY LEVEL Which contains Lme Copper, Zinc, Aluminium, Nickel, Lead & Tin. 

 

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घरेलू बाजार में सोने का 100 रुपये से ज्यादा बढ़ गया है और इसका भाव 29300 रुपये के ऊपर पहुंच गया है। दरअसल ग्लोबल मार्केट में सोना 3 महीने का ऊपरी स्तर छू चुका है, हालांकि बढ़त के बाद ऊपरी स्तर से अब दबाव भी बन रहा है। दरअसल फ्रांस के यूरोपीय यूनियन से बाहर होने की आशंका है और ट्रंप की नीतियों में अस्थिरता से सोने को सपोर्ट मिला है। एसपीडीआर गोल्ड की होल्डिंग लगातार चौथे दिन बढ़ी है और ये बढ़कर 818.65 टन पर पहुंच गई है। वहीं, एमसीएक्स पर चांदी 0.4 फीसदी बढ़कर 42500 रुपये के आसपास नजर आ रही है।

 

कच्चे तेल में सुस्ती देखने को मिल रही है। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर कच्चा तेल 0.1 फीसदी की मामूली बढ़त के साथ 3580 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। नैचुरल गैस में अच्छी तेजी देखने को मिली है। एमसीएक्स पर नैचुरल गैस करीब 1 फीसदी बढ़कर 207.8 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है।

बेस मेटल में मिलाजुला कारोबार देखने को मिल रहा है। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर कॉपर 0.15 फीसदी बढ़कर 394 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है, जबकि एल्युमीनियम 0.15 फीसदी गिर गया है। निकेल 0.4 फीसदी की गिरावट के साथ 700.2 रुपये पर आ गया है। लेड 0.1 फीसदी बढ़ा है, और जिंक करीब 0.5 फीसदी की मजबूती के साथ 188 रुपये के ऊपर कारोबार कर रहा है।

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एग्री कमोडिटी की बात करें तो चीनी में ऊपरी स्तर से दबाव है। गेहूं की कीमतों में आज भी दबाव बना हुआ है। रिकॉर्ड बुआई से इसमें गिरावट का रुख है। हल्दी में पिछले दिनों की गिरावट के बाद आज रिकवरी है। वहीं कमजोर रुपये से खाने के तेलों को सपोर्ट मिला है।

1. सोना एमसीएक्स (अप्रैल वायदा) : खरीदें - 29200, स्टॉपलॉस - 29090 और लक्ष्य - 29350

2. चांदी एमसीएक्स (मार्च वायदा) : खरीदें - 42200, स्टॉपलॉस - 41950 और लक्ष्य - 42600

3. लेड एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 157, स्टॉपलॉस - 159 और लक्ष्य - 154

4. कॉपर एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 393, स्टॉपलॉस - 396 और लक्ष्य - 388

5. कच्चा तेल एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 3600, स्टॉपलॉस - 3645 और लक्ष्य - 3540

6. गेहूं एनसीडीईएक्स (मार्च वायदा) : बेचें - 1720, स्टॉपलॉस - 1740 और लक्ष्य - 1690

Metals Tonnes Change 

 

Aluminum            2263025 -6875

Copper                  259500 -1350

Nickel                   382098 -522

Lead                     189375 +325

Zinc                      394450 -1625

 

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Crude palm Oil on MCX settled down by -0.12% at 577.4 on profit booking after gaining due to supply worries from Malaysia and on strong Malaysian palm oil export data. Tightness in Palm oil continued as exports are gaining pace while production is declining in Malaysia and Indonesia. Meanwhile, the Indonesia data continued to show supply tightness for palm oil. Palm stockpiles in Indonesia dropped about 37% to 1.07 million tons in December from a month earlier, the lowest ever, Gapki said. Production in December fell 8.3% to 3.15 million tons from a month earlier, while palm and kernel oil exports dropped 6% to 2.68 million tons. 

                     Trading Ideas

1. CPO trading range for the day is 573-584.2. 

2. Crude palm oil prices dropped on profit booking after gaining due to supply worries from Malaysia and on strong Malaysian palm oil export data. 

3. Tightness in Palm oil continued as exports are gaining pace while production is declining in Malaysia and Indonesia.

Demand for meal is good from domestic as well as overseas buyers. The United States department of agriculture (USDA) trimmed 2016-17 United States soybean production forecast for January also cut forecast for ending stockpiles compared to previous month, the department said in its World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates report. 

The USDA expects soybean output in US, the world's biggest bean grower, at 117.2 million tons in January compared to 118.7 million tons in the previous month while higher than 106.9 million tons a year ago. USDA also expects 2016-17 US soybean ending stockpiles to fall to 420 million bushels in January compared to 480 million tons in the previous month while higher than 197 million bushels estimated in the same period a year ago.

                Trading Ideas

1. Soyabean trading range for the day is 3065-3149.

2. Soyabean settled flat as prices paired gained after gaining earlier on buying at lower level and on hope higher demand. 

3. Crush margins have turned marginally negative and may limit demand from processors going forward. 

4. NCDEX accredited warehouses soyabean stocks gained by 2537 tonnes to 186625 tonnes. At the Indore spot market in top producer MP, soybean gained  16 Rupees to 3057 Rupees per 100 kgs. 

Rice shipments from Thailand, the largest supplier after India, are likely to decline about 4% this year amid increased competition from Vietnam and other producers. Exports will total 9.5 million tonnes in 2017, Chookiat Ophaswongse, the honorary president of the Thai Rice Exporters Association, said Wednesday in an interview.

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That compares with 9.88 million tonnes in 2016, according to data from the Ministry of Commerce.Competition from Vietnam may cut white rice exports by about 400,000 tonnes to 4.6 million tonnes even as sales of premium jasmine grade rise climb about 9% to 2.5 million tonnes, Mr Chookiat said.

 

The forecast drop in exports comes as the US Department of Agriculture expects global rice consumption to lag behind production for the 12th straight year, limiting any price upside.Prices of Thai white rice, a regional benchmark, have changed little over the past year and were at $375 a tonne on Jan 25. Vietnamese white rice is quoted at $434 a tonne and Indian rice at $370, according to data from the association's website.

The Commodities markets require further reforms for the benefits of farmers, noted the Finance Minister in his latest Budget speech. An expert committee will be constituted to study and promote creation of an operational and legal framework to integrate spot market and derivatives market for commodities trading. e-NAM would be an integral part of such framework.

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GOLD 

SUPPORT: 28200/28350 

RESISTANCE: 28650/28800 

TREND: SIDEWAYS 

 

SILVER 

 SUPPORT: 440700/41000 

RESISTANCE: 41700/42000 

TREND: SIDEWAYS 

 

CRUDE OIL 

SUPPORT: 3460/3530 

RESISTANCE: 3630/3690 

TREND: SIDEWAYS 

 

COPPER 

SUPPORT: 391/395 

RESISTANCE: 401/404 

TREND: SIDEWAYS

Gold futures were little changed during afternoon trade in the domestic market on Monday as investors and speculators extended their positions in the precious metal as demand for safe-haven emerged on weak US dollar on uncertainty over US policy after the Trump introduced immigration curbs that sparked criticism globally. 

 

Trump's move to ban entry of refugees and people from 7 Muslim majority countries mounted criticism and protests in major American cities. However, gains were curbed as many Asian markets were closed today due to holiday for the Lunar New Year. 

 

At the MCX, gold futures for February 2017 contract is trading at Rs 28372 per 10 grams, up by 0.07%, after opening at Rs 28384, against a previous close of Rs 28353. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 28423.

Naturalgas trading range for the day is 221.1-232.5.Naturalgas on MCX settled down on Wednesday while Natural gas prices on NYMEX extended its gain upside by +1.50%.A relatively cold weather system will track across the East, leaving much of the country much colder compared to recent weeks.Natural gas inventories report showed a draw of -119Bcf versus expectations for inventory to be a draw of approximately -121 Bcf.

 

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Menthaoil trading range for the day is 1005.1-1027.5.Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1121.40 per 1kg. Spot prices is up by Rs.3.00-.Mentha oil prices gained on the back of pick-up in demand at domestic spot market.Besides, tight stocks position following restricted arrivals from major producing belts of Chandausi in Uttar Pradesh also provided support to mentha oil prices.At Bareilly market arrivals were reported at 1 Drums(1-drum-180kg), down by 4 Drums(1-drum-180kg) from previous trading day.

1. Soyabean trading range for the day is 3068-3148.
2. US farmers are expected to plant 90.5 million acres of soybeans this spring, topping the record high set last year. 
3. CDEX accredited warehouses soyabean stocks gained by 2599 tonnes to 166650 tonnes. 
4. At the Indore spot market in top producer MP, soybean dropped -36 rupees to 3081 rupees per 100 kgs.

Cardamom futures were trading lower during morning trade in the domestic market on Tuesday as investors and speculators trimmed their bets in the agri-commodity amid muted physical demand for cardamom in the domestic spot market. 

 

Further, sufficient supplies on higher physical arrivals from the major cardamom producing regions, influenced the downward trend in the domestic cardamom prices. At the MCX, cardamom futures for February 2017 contract is trading at Rs 1515 per kg, down by 0.35 per cent, after opening at Rs 1518, against a previous close of Rs 1520.30. It touched the intra-day low of Rs 1510.20.

 

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शेयर मार्केट में बेहतर निवेश सम्बन्धी जानकरी के लिए हमारी वेबसाइट पे विजिट करे http://ripplesadvisory.com

1. कच्चा तेल एमसीएक्स: खरीदें - 3580, स्टॉपलॉस - 3500, लक्ष्य - 3700.
2. सोना एमसीएक्स: खरीदें - 28750, स्टॉपलॉस - 28500 लक्ष्य - 29000.