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London copper turned south on Friday after a report showing industrial production in China slowed in November dented demand prospects for the metal that is facing a 15 percent loss this year.


Fundamentals

London Metal Exchange copper fell 0.4 percent to $6,132 a tonne by 0306 GMT, erasing small gains from the previous session, and was set to end the week little changed. Prices are set to drop 15 percent this year, the first fall since 2015 when prices declined by a quarter to below $5,000.

Shanghai Futures Exchange copper eased by 0.2 percent to 49,080 yuan ($7,128) a tonne. Open interest in the contract is the lowest in 22 months, signaling a lack of conviction over price direction as the year draws to a close.

China's November retail sales grew at the weakest pace since 2003 and industrial output rose the least in nearly three years as domestic demand softened further, underlining rising risks to the economy as China works to defuse a trade dispute with the United States.

China is on track to hit its 2018 GDP growth target of around 6.5 percent, but the economy faces more external uncertainties next year, a spokesman of China's statistics bureau said on Friday.

Japanese business confidence and capital expenditure plans held steady from three months ago, a closely-watched central bank survey showed, sign companies weren't significantly worried about escalating trade frictions and global growth concerns.

China's aluminum production rose by 19.2 percent to 2.82 million tonnes in November from a year earlier, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Friday. SHFE aluminum prices have trended down by 10 percent since late December to near a two-year low.

Asian shares tumbled on Friday after China reported a set of weak data, fanning fresh worries of a sharp slowdown in the world's second-biggest economy and leaving investors fretting over the wider impact of a yet unresolved Sino-US trade dispute.

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Mustard seed

Mustard seed is trading at Rs 4,050 per quintal in the benchmark Jaipur market. In the coming days, prices are expected to head towards Rs 4,125 per quintal. Expectations of good demand for oil after the market reopens post Holi holidays, coupled with strong demand for cake and meal would support demand from processors.

Cotton seed oilcake

Cotton seed oilcake prices have fallen by 15 per cent in 2018 so far, and are close to the seasonal lows of Rs 1,400 per quintal.

Since then, the crop size estimate has been cut sharply. Good export demand for the new crops such as mustard meal and the sharp rally in soybean meal will attract bargain buying for cotton seed oilcake from the cattle feed industry. Current cotton seed oilcake prices in Akola are around Rs 1,550. Expect prices to rise to Rs 1,600 and more in the next ten days.
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Genetic engineering, molecular breeding, and organic farming hogged the discussions during the five-day National Banana Festival, the first ever of its kind to be held, that drew to a close in rural Thiruvananthapuram on Wednesday.


Banana farming assumes much importance in the Indian scenario since the country ranks first in global banana production and accounts for 25.58 percent of global production. It also makes for 36.6 percent of the total fruit production in the country.

Provider of jobs

Banana and plantain are widely grown in Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Odisha, Bihar, east Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal and the North-Eastern States.

The banana industry provides employment to thousands of people. It is also a fact that only one percent of the banana produced is exported. Also organic banana, it has been revealed, is an emerging sector in global trade.

Special agri zones

The 32 Special Agricultural Zones declared by the Kerala government would help increase the productivity of different crops native to those regions. The entire Thrissur district has been declared a Special Agricultural Zone for a banana.

The Centre’s Mission for Integrated Development of Horticulture (MIHD) scheme has benefited banana farmers. The Union Minister said the Centre is committed to providing the required assistance to farmers for all horticulture crops.

Stress-resistant genes

“The Musa wild species and its allied species form an important source of resistant genes for biotic and abiotic stresses. Biotic and abiotic stresses are the main constraints that reduce productivity considerably.

“Production constraints also vary from region to region. The complexity of problems calls for basic, strategic, and adaptive research to maximize the productivity of banana crops.”

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The nickel futures contract on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) fell in the past week.


The contract made a high of ₹917.8 per kg on last Thursday and has come-off from there. It has tumbled 4.7 percent from this high and is currently trading at ₹875. The near-term view is negative. The contract can extend the downmove to test the 21-day moving average support at ₹862.

A break below ₹862 will drag the contract further lower towards the crucial ₹850-847 support region. Whether the contract manages to bounce from this support zone or not will then decide the next move.

A decisive break below ₹847 will increase the likelihood of the contract tumbling towards ₹830 or ₹825 on the back of profit booking.

On the other hand, if the contract manages to bounce from the ₹850-₹847 support zone, the downside pressure would ease.

A bounce back towards ₹900 and ₹910 is likely in such a scenario. It will also indicate the formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern on the chart. This is a bullish continuation pattern and in this case, it will mean that the uptrend is intact and could resume going forward.

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A volume of 10.34 lakh kg has been cataloged for Sale No: 8 of the auctions of Coonoor Tea Trade Association to be held on Thursday and Friday.


It is some 41,000 kg more than the offer for last week’s auctions.

Of this, 6.86 lakh kg belongs to leaf grades and 3.48 lakh kg, dust grades. As much as 9.45 lakh kg belongs to CTC variety and only 89,000 kg, orthodox variety. The proportion of orthodox teas continues to be low in both leaf and dust grades. In the leaf counter, only 49,000 kg belongs to orthodox while 6.37 lakh kg, CTC. Among the dust, only 40,000 kg belongs to orthodox while 3.08 lakh kg, CTC.

Homedale Estate’s Red Dust, auctioned by Global Tea Brokers, topped not only the Dust tea auctions but the entire auction last week when TRP Tea and Commodities bought it for ₹277 a kg. This was the highest price of any tea, CTC or orthodox, from any factory, corporate or bought-leaf. Homedale Estate’s Super Red Dust tea, auctioned by Global Tea Brokers, followed at ₹268.

In the CTC Leaf Tea auctions, Homedale Estate tea, auctioned by Global Tea Brokers, topped at ₹265 followed by Vigneshwar Estate tea, auctioned by Paramount Tea Marketing at ₹205.

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The Tamil Nadu Agricultural University has advised farmers to take up sowing of sesame.


This major edible oilseed crop is grown in states such as Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu.

In Tamil Nadu, sesame is grown in Villupuram, Erode, Thanjavur, Karur, Salem, and Cuddalore districts in all four seasons such as Chithiraipattam, Aadipattam, Karthigaipattam, and Masipattam.

Main varieties cultivated include TMV3, TMV 4, TMV 6, TMV 7 (Brown), Co 1 (black) and SVPR 1(white sesame). About 65 percent of the annual sesame crop is processed into edible oil and 35 percent used in confectionaries.

During the last season (Karthigaipattam), the area under sesame was less compared to the normal area owing to delayed/extended monsoon but the demand for sesame swelled

The ensuing season—Masipattam—would be favorable for sowing sesame, said researchers at the Centre for Agricultural and Rural Development Studies (CARDS), Tamil Nadu Agricultural University after analyzing the price movement at the Sivagiri Regulated Market in Erode district. The farm gate price of quality sesame could range between Rs 57 and Rs 60 a kg, researchers said, advising farmers to take appropriate sowing decisions

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