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Indian markets hit a 2-month low on Thursday weighed down by weak global cues, muted earnings from India Inc., and RIL downgrade by Morgan Stanley.

The final tally on D-Street – the S&P BSE Sensex fell 230 points to 37,558 while the Nifty50 dropped 57 points to close at 11,301.


In terms of sectors, buying was seen in IT, consumer durables, realty, FMCG and auto stocks while selling pressure continued in energy, metals and telecom names.

On the macro front, investors would watch out for Industrial Production data for the month of March.

Falling for the fourth straight session, the rupee depreciated by 23 paise to 69.94 against the US dollar May 9 on unabated foreign fund outflows amid simmering US-China trade tensions.

On the institutional front, FPIs were net sellers in Indian markets for Rs 655 crore while DIIs were net buyers to the tune of Rs 677 crore, provisional data showed.

Big News:

As many as 55 companies will declare its results for the quarter ended March which include names like Eicher Motors, Allahabad Bank, Canara Bank, HT Media, IDFC First Bank, L&T, PVR, State Bank of India, Syndicate Bank, Venky’s, and V-Mart, etc. among others.

Eicher Motors: PAT likely to fall by 16% YoY to Rs 542 crore

SBI: Bank is likely to report a profit of Rs 3649 crore

L&T: PAT likely to grow by 16% YoY to Rs 3475 crore

(All the estimates from Motilal Oswal)

Technical View:

Nifty forms a bearish candle for the seventh day in a row

The index managed to hold on to 11300 levels

The way we bounced back from 100-days EMA suggest that the downside could be limited from here

The next support for the index is placed at 11100 levels while on the upside resistance is placed at 11500 levels

Three levels: 11255, 11357, 11500

Max Call OI: 12000, 12500

Max Put OI: 11000, 11500

Stocks in news:

HCL Technologies has registered a net income of Rs 2,568 crore, up 15.3 percent year-on-year for the quarter ended March 31, 2019. The profit fell 1.7% sequentially though.

Apollo Tyres May 9 reported 66.41 percent plunge in consolidated net profit at Rs 83.99 crore for the fourth quarter of 2018-19, hit by Rs 100 crore write-off related to IL&FS.

Consumer durables firm Voltas posted a 27 percent drop year-on-year (YoY) in its March quarter (Q4) net profit at Rs 141.74 crore. This was on account of flat growth in its revenue.

Technical Recommendations:

We spoke to IIFL and here's what they have to recommend:

Britannia Industries: Buy| Target: Rs 2870| Stop Loss: Rs 2610| Upside 7.5%

Hindustan Unilever: Buy| Target: Rs 1775| Stop Loss: Rs 1670| Upside 4.5%

Divi’s Laboratories: Sell May Futs| Target: Rs 1553| Stop Loss: Rs 1662.5| Downside 5%

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment expert on Moneycontrol.com are his own and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) was down 27 percent at Rs 39.6 crore, the margin was down 590 bps at 9.1 percent.

Shares of VIP Industries declined 5 percent intraday Tuesday after the company reported weak numbers for the quarter ended March 2019.


The company's consolidated Q4FY19 net profit was down 28 percent at Rs 25.3 crore against Rs 35 crore in a year ago period.

The revenue of the company was up 20 percent at Rs 435 crore versus Rs 362.6 crore.

Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) was down 27 percent at Rs 39.6 crore, the margin was down 590 bps at 9.1 percent.

At 13:48 hrs VIP Industries was quoting at Rs 427.05, down Rs 16.05, or 3.62 percent on the BSE.

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HCL Technologies and Cherwell Software, LLC announced a product platform that layers the DRYiCE GBP on the Cherwell Service Management platform.

The share price of HCL Technologies touched a 52-week high of Rs 1,171.95, rising 3 percent intraday Tuesday after the company entered into a partnership with Cherwell Software.


HCL Technologies and Cherwell Software, LLC announced a product platform that layers the DRYiCE GBP (Gold Blue Print for Service Management) on the Cherwell Service Management platform, company said in BSE release.

HCL Technologies’ process simplifies IT service design and management for customers, while Cherwell’s low-code platform offers the easy customization of new IT services and the extension of digital services beyond IT, company added.

Kalyan Kumar, Corporate Vice President, and CTO-IT Services at HCL Technologies said, “We are pleased to offer Cherwell’s advanced service management platform for delivery within our industry-leading ITSM process ecosystem with DRYiCE GBP and also provide our customers with rapid flexibility and choice to deploy the product on a codeless platform."

At 11:22 hrs HCL Technologies was quoting at Rs 1,168.90, up to Rs 31.10, or 2.73 percent on the BSE.

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Cotton growers in the US intend to plant the crop on 11 million acres this spring, up 9.4 % from 2016. Upland cotton intentions are 10.8 million acres, up 8.8 % from 2016, while extra-long staple (ELS) intentions of 266,000 acres represent a 36.9 % increase, according to the 36th Annual Early Season Planting Intentions Survey.

 

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Planted acreage is just one of the factors that will determine supplies of cotton and cottonseed. Ultimately, weather, insect pressures and agronomic conditions play a significant role in determining crop size.

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Turmeric on NCDEX settled up by 0.41% at 6832 driven by firm trend in the spot markets. However, gains remained capped on expectations of increasing production in coming harvesting season and lowering export demand in recent months. Turmeric acreage in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh was higher this year as compared last year. 

The harvesting is going on in key producing states – Maharashtra, Tamilnadu and Karnataka. On the export front, country exported about 74,524 tonnes, up by 32% during April-Nov period compared last year exports of 56,471 tonnes, as per government data. In Sangli (Maharashtra), new Turmeric crop coming to the market with small quantity around 450 bags (1 bag = 70kgs), for new crop price quoted in a range of Rs.6800 - Rs.8000/qtl depends on quality and variety.  

            Trading Ideas  

  • Turmeric trading range for the day is 6764-6904.

  • Turmeric prices ended with gains driven by firm trend in the spot markets. 

  • As per production estimate, Turmeric production reported higher by around 7.5% during current year.  In Sangli, new Turmeric crop coming to the market with small quantity around 450 bags.

  • In Nizamabad, a major spot market in AP, the price ended at 7342.1 Rupees dropped -10.85 Rupees. 

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बढ़े हुए क्रूड उत्पादन के कारण क्रूड के दाम अंतर्राष्ट्रीय बाजारों में गिरे हुए नजर आ रहे हैं। फिलहाल ब्रेंट क्रूड 56 डॉलर के ऊपर कारोबार कर रहा है। वहीं डॉलर में बढ़त और डॉनल्ड ट्रंप की नई टैक्स नीतियों के चलते सोना फिसला है। 

  • कॉपर एमसीएक्स: खरीदें - 408, स्टॉपलॉस - 404, लक्ष्य - 414.
  • नैचुरल गैस एमसीएक्स: बेचें - 204.1, स्टॉपलॉस - 197, लक्ष्य - 206.
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Copper ended the session on 10 Feb 2017 at INR 408.2 per kg. The prices tested a high of INR 408.7 per kg and a low of INR 390.90 per kg. Technical charts suggest that breach above INR 410 per kg will be beneficial for Copper. Indian Copper were not able to move past important resistance levels of Rs 410 on Friday. Further appreciation from here can take prices close to INR 410 and 413 per kg. On the lower side Rs 405 and 402 per kg are supports. The strategy can be to sell Copper on rise. Gains are expected in Copper with opening can be near Rs 410 per kg. 

 
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Gold Losses was noted in the prices of MCX Refined gold. Levels of INR 29187 per 10 grams was noticed during the closing, with an uptick of 4.46%. The value gained from the strongest levels since December 2016. The prices gained and reached near to critical levels of INR 29500 per 10 grams which means that further gains can create confidence and prices can move towards Rs 30000 per 10 grams. If gains occur from here it can take yellow metal towards INR 30100 and 30200 per 10 grams. On lower side, Gold will be supported at Rs 28800 per 10 grams and INR 28700. The high of Gold was at INR 29204 per 10 grams and a low of INR 28925 per 10 grams was tested during the day.  


Crude Oil gained in the session ending 10 Feb 2017 and ended with gains to the tune of 1.75%. The prices of Crude Oil ended the session at INR 3606 per barrel, up INR 62. The benchmark expiry contract of Crude Oil tested a high of INR 3620 per barrel. A low of INR 3541 per barrel was registered during the day. Losses in Crude Oil can take prices towards Rs 3520 and 3480 per barrel. On the higher side Rs 3620 and 3650 per barrel are the noted resistances.

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The Indian Government has said that the central assistance worth over Rs 2,845 crore has been released for various Extension, Renovation and Modernisation (ERM) irrigation projects under the Accelerated Irrigation Benefits Programme (AIBP) till December 2016. 

 

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Commenting on the issue, Water Resources Minister Uma Bharti told the media, "42 approved ERM projects have been included under AIBP since its inception. Central assistance of Rs 2,845.27 crore has been released for these projects up to December 2016." 

 

“Out of the 42 projects, 20 have been reported to be completed by state governments,” she added. “Issues relating to completion of ongoing AIBP projects were considered by a committee. The committee, in consultation with states has identified 99 ongoing AIBP projects including 9 ERM projects for completion in phases by December 2019," she further said.

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Oil prices rose on Friday after reports that OPEC members delivered more than 90 % of the output cuts they pledged in a landmark deal that took effect in January. 


Supply from the 11 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries with production targets under the deal fell to 29.92 million barrels per day, according to the average assessments of the six secondary sources OPEC uses to monitor output, or 92 % compliance. 

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The International Energy Agency (IEA) - one of OPEC's six sources - said the cuts in January equated to 90 % of the agreed reductions in output, far higher than the initial 60 % compliance with a 2009 OPEC deal.

Global benchmark Brent crude settled up $1.07, or 1.9 %, at $56.70 a barrel. It touched a session high of $56.88. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled up 86 cents, or 1.6 %, at $53.86 a barrel. 
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सेबी के बोर्ड की बैठक में आज एक बड़ा फैसला लिया गया है। सेबी बोर्ड ने कमोडिटी में ऑप्शन ट्रेडिंग को हरी झंडी दे दी है। इसके लिए बोर्ड ने सिक्योरिटी कॉन्ट्रैक्ट रेगुलेशन एक्ट यानी एससीआरए कानून में संशोधन को मंजूर कर लिया है। इसके बाद जल्द ही कमोडिटी ऑप्शन में कारोबार शुरू हो सकता है। कमोडिटी में ऑप्शन ट्रेडिंग को सेबी ने सैद्धांतिक रूप से सितंबर में ही स्वीकृति दे दी थी। इसके अलावा सेबी बोर्ड ने डिबेंचर ट्रस्टी रेगुलेशन में संशोधन को मंजूरी दी है।

 

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LME Copper prices averaged at $ 5666 per tonne by the end of December 2016 compared to $ 4629 per tonne by the end of December 2015, up 22 percent. According to preliminary ICSG data, the refined copper market for September 2016 (excluding the adjustment for changes in China's bonded stocks) showed an apparent production deficit of around 15,000 metric tonnes. 

 

When making seasonal adjustments for world refined production and usage, September showed a production surplus of about 25,000 t. The refined copper balance for the first nine months of 2016, including revisions to data previously presented, indicates a production deficit of around 84,000 tonnes. This compares with a production deficit of around 28000 tonnes for the same period of 2015. In the first nine months of 2016, world apparent refined usage is estimated to have increased by around 3% (565000 tonnes) compared with that in the same period of 2015 mainly due to 

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Chinese apparent demand as world usage excluding China remained essentially unchanged. Chinese apparent demand increased by around 7% in the first nine months of 2016 based on a 2% increase in net imports of refined copper and 7% growth in refined production.

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March West Texas Intermediate crude rose 86 cents, or 1.6%, to settle at $53.86 a barrel.Crude oil futures rose sharply Friday, ending a topsy turvy week on the rebound amid hopes the global supply glut is dwindling. Prices were little changed compared to a week ago. 

 

The IEA also upgraded its forecast for 2017 demand growth to 1.4 million barrels a day, from 1.3 million barrels projected in its January report. The latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) inventories data recorded a build of 13.8 million barrels in the week ending February 3rd following a 6.5 million build the previous week. 

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Consensus forecasts were for a build of around 2.5 million barrels, although the huge 14.2-million-barrel build reported in the American Petroleum Institute (API) data rendered the consensus forecasts almost meaningless. Crude inventories at 508.6 million barrels are 8.1% higher than year-ago levels. Cushing inventories recorded a build of 1.06 million barrels, higher than the API estimate.

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US consumer sentiment index dropped to 95.7 in February from the final January reading of 98.5, after showing sentiment at a thirteen-year high in the previous month, the University of Michigan released a report on Friday.

 

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Soyabean trading range for the day is 3059-3109.Soyabean prices gained supported by speculation that China, has bought several US bulk cargoesArrivals across Madhya Pradesh were around 140,000-130,000 bags of 90 kilograms compared to 135,000-100,000 bags of 90 kilograms.NCDEX accredited warehouses soyabean stocks gained by 2230 tonnes to 193653 tonnes.At the Indore spot market in top producer MP, soybean gained 8 Rupees to 3083 Rupees per 100 kgs.

 As per the latest data compiled by the General Administration of Customs China , the country has imported 7.66 million tonnes of soybeans in January. The imports were up 35 % from last year in the same period , while 15 %down from last month.

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Oil prices were stable early on Friday, with OPEC-led production cuts supporting the market while soaring U.S. fuel inventories were weighing on crude. 


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U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were trading at $53.08 per barrel at 0106 GMT, up 8 cents from their last settlement. 

 

Brent crude futures , the international benchmark for oil prices, were up 3 cents at $55.66 a barrel.Both crude futures have traded within a $5 range since the beginning of the year, and traders said this was due to competing price drivers. 

"Oil prices continue to struggle to break out of the current range," ANZ bank said on Friday. "The push and pull between competing forces in the crude oil market continued overnight.

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Copper for March was trading up 0.13% at $2.67 a pound on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest closing since Feb. 2. Meanwhile, MCX Copper was trading at Rs 395.45 per kg, down 0.24%. The prices tested a high of Rs 395.2 per kg, and a low of Rs 392.70 per kg during the day.


 Industrial action is expected to be a big influence on the price of copper this year, with the base metal getting a further boost from a crop of labor negotiations set to take place from Chile to Salt Lake City.

 

Workers at the Escondida mine, located in the Atacama Desert of northern Chile, voted last week to strike after rejecting an offer from management that they said cut into their benefits. On Tuesday, talks between management and the union broke down after a period of government mediation.

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अप्रैल से जनवरी तक घरेलू गोल्ड ईटीएफ से करीब 650 करोड़ रुपये निकल गए हैं। जनवरी में ही 35 करोड़ रुपये की निकासी हुई है। ये लगातार चौथा साल है जब गोल्ड ईटीएफ से निकासी हो रही है। गौर करने वाली बात ये है कि इस साल सोने में तेजी के बावजूद निवेशक ईटीएफ से पैसा निकाल रहे हैं। वित्त वर्ष 2017 में अबतक गोल्ड फंड के एयूएम में 11 फीसदी की गिरावट आ चुकी है।

 

 हालांकि सोने की चमक लगातार बढ़ती जा रही है और इसका दाम 3 महीने के ऊपरी स्तर पर चला गया है। फ्रांस में चुनाव और इसके यूरोपीय यूनियन से बाहर होने की अटकलों से सोने को सपोर्ट मिला है। ग्लोबल मार्केट में सोने का दाम 1240 डॉलर के पार चला गया है। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर सोना सपाट होकर 29,350 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। चांदी भी सपाट होकर 42,340 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रही है।

कल की गिरावट के बाद कच्चे तेल में तेजी आई है और भाव 0.5 फीसदी तक बढ़ गए हैं। एमसीएक्स पर कच्चा तेल 0.5 फीसदी उछलकर 3530 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। नैचुरल गैस भी 0.5 फीसदी बढ़कर 212.8 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है।

  1. सोना एमसीएक्स (अप्रैल वायदा) : खरीदें - 29250, स्टॉपलॉस - 29130 और लक्ष्य - 29500

  2. कच्चा तेल एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 3500, स्टॉपलॉस - 3450 और लक्ष्य - 3580

  3. निकेल एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 695, स्टॉपलॉस - 685 और लक्ष्य - 720

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Milk prices at the GlobalDairyTrade auction edged higher earlier this week. The GlobalDairyTrade index, based on sales prices at the auction, rose by 1.3%, compared to last event two weeks ago. Prices of benchmark whole milk powder rose by 1.0%, the first rise in prices seen so far this year. Last week, global Milk giant Fonterra announced it has increased it average payout to its Australian farmers.

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फ्रांस में चुनाव और यूरोपीय यूनियन से इसके बाहर होने की अटकलों के बीच सोने की कीमतें लगातार बढ़ती जा रही हैं। ग्लोबल मार्केट में सोने का दाम 1240 डॉलर के पार चला गया है। डॉलर में आई गिरावट से सोने की कीमतों को सपोर्ट मिला है। वहीं चांदी भी तेज है। हालांकि डॉलर के मुकाबले रुपये में करीब 25 पैसे की शानदार मजबूती आई है। 1 डॉलर की कीमत 67 रुपये के नीचे आ गई है और रुपया 3 महीने की ऊंचाई पर है। इस बीच कच्चा तेल कल के स्तर के आसपास बना हुआ है। वहीं, लंदन मेटल एक्सचेंज पर कॉपर 2 महीने के ऊपरी स्तर के पास है।

एग्री कमोडिटी में मध्यप्रदेश और गुजरात की कुछ मंडियों में नए गेहूं की आवक शुरू हो गई है। वहीं राजस्थान के श्रीगंगानगर में नया सरसों दस्तक दे चुका है। हालांकि नमी ज्यादा होने की वजह से नया सरसों बाजार में करीब 800 रुपये नीचे यानि 3100 रुपये के आसपास बिक रहा है। कल मंडी में करीब 150 बोरी नए सरसों की आवक रही।

फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर सोना सपाट होकर 29,330 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। चांदी भी सपाट होकर 42,350 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रही है। हालांकि एमसीएक्स पर कच्चा तेल 0.4 फीसदी उछलकर 3525 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। नैचुरल गैस भी 0.4 फीसदी बढ़कर 212.6 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है।


बेस मेटल्स में सुस्ती के साथ कारोबार देखने को मिल रहा है। एमसीएक्स पर कॉपर 0.1 फीसदी बढ़कर 394.85 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है, जबकि एल्युमीनियम 0.1 फीसदी गिरकर 123 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। निकेल 0.1 फीसदी की मामूली बढ़त के साथ 702.7 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। लेड 0.25 फीसदी की गिरावट के साथ 160 रुपये पर आ गया है। जिंक 0.25 फीसदी गिरकर 190.4 रुपये पर आ गया है।
  1. लेड एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 159, स्टॉपलॉस - 157 और लक्ष्य - 162.
  2. निकेल एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 695, स्टॉपलॉस - 680 और लक्ष्य - 720.
  3. सोया तेल एनसीडीईएक्स (मार्च वायदा) : खरीदें - 692, स्टॉपलॉस - 688 और लक्ष्य - 700.
  4. कपास एनसीडीईएक्स (अप्रैल वायदा) : खरीदें - 1015, स्टॉपलॉस - 995 और लक्ष्य - 1045.
  5. सोयाबीन एनसीडीईएक्स (मार्च वायदा) : खरीदें - 3060, स्टॉपलॉस - 3040 और लक्ष्य - 3120.
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The state government of Haryana has drafted a new textile policy which provides fiscal incentives for setting up of new units and for modernisation of the existing textile industry in the state. The policy aims to make Haryana a global hub of textile manufacturing by attracting investment to the tune of Rs 5,000 crore, and thereby creating 50,000 new jobs.

The draft policy, which has been put by the state government in public domain, contains provisions for infrastructure augmentation, setting up of textile parks and facilities for skill training. 

 

As per the draft policy, a 10 % capital subsidy will be available for the eligible new textile projects across the state. Further, HSIIDC will offer industrial plots for a lease of 33 years with 5 per cent increase in annual lease rent for those enterprises setting up new project.

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