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पिछले हफ्ते भारी गिरावट के बाद कच्चे तेल में फिर से दबाव बढ़ गया है। ग्लोबल मार्केट में क्रूड करीब 1 फीसदी नीचे कारोबार कर रहा है। ब्रेंट का दाम 52.5 डॉलर के नीचे आ गया है जबकि नायमैक्स पर क्रूड 48.5 डॉलर के भी नीचे कारोबार कर रहा है। दरअसल अमेरिका में क्रूड का रिग काउंट लगातार बढ़ता जा रहा है और अब ये बढ़कर पिछले 2.5 साल के ऊपरी स्तर पर चला गया है। ग्लोबल मार्केट में गिरावट का असर घरेलू कीमतों पर पड़ा है। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर कच्चा तेल 1 फीसदी फिसलकर 3210 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। नैचुरल गैस भी 1.5 फीसदी की गिरावट के साथ 190.4 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है।

इस बीच बेस मेटल भी काफी टूट गए हैं। कॉपर करीब 1 फीसदी नीचे है जबकि जिंक और लेड में भी तेज गिरावट आई है। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर कॉपर 0.9 फीसदी की गिरावट के साथ 387.25 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है, जबकि एल्युमीनियम 0.6 फीसदी गिरकर 124.2 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। निकेल 0.75 फीसदी की कमजोरी के साथ 666.8 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। लेड 0.5 फीसदी लुढ़ककर 149.2 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। जिंक 0.8 फीसदी की कमजोरी के साथ 186.85 रुपये पर आ गया है।

चांदी में अच्छी चमक देखने को मिल रही है। दरअसल ग्लोबल मार्केट में रिकवरी से घरेलू बाजार में चांदी को सहारा मिला है। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर चांदी 0.15 फीसदी बढ़कर 40,975 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रही है। सोने में भी बढ़त देखने को मिल रही है। एमसीएक्स पर सोना 0.25 फीसदी बढ़कर 28,575 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है।

एग्री कमोडिटी में आज जीरे में करीब 2 फीसदी का उछाल आया है। वहीं ग्लोबल मार्केट में आई तेजी से घरेलू बाजार में भी सोयाबीन का दाम बढ़ गया है। साथ ही कल राजस्थान के कई इलाकों में हुई बारिश से सरसों में भी तेजी आई है।

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Zinc

Zinc on MCX settled up 2.2% at 188.4 on expectations the closure and suspensions of big mines will create shortages. Net spec positioning in LME zinc deteriorated for a third week in a row over February 24-March 3, according to the latest LME COTR. This was mainly driven by a build-up of shorts and was reinforced by long liquidation. In the physical market, premiums continued to strengthen last week in the USA due to the strike at Noranda Income Fund’s zinc processing facility in Canada, which is tightening available supply.

Trading Ideas:

* Zinc trading range for the day is 182.5-191.5.

* Zinc gained on expectations the closure and suspensions of big mines will create shortages.

Combined zinc inventories in Shanghai, Tianjin and Guangdong decreased 9,600 to 277,100 tonnes this past week.

Nickel

Nickel on MCX settled up 0.78% at 671.9 as support seen as the Philippines has repeatedly indicated that it will slash output. A Philippine nickel ore producer plans to reopen two mines suspended for environmental violations while it awaits the outcome of an appeal, in a test of rules around the government's crackdown on the industry. The two mines were among 10 suspended last year during a months-long audit led by Environment Secretary Regina Lopez, who later ordered the closure of more than half of operating mines in the world's top nickel ore exporter.

Trading Ideas:

Nickel trading range for the day is 661.6-678.8.

* Nickel prices gained as support seen as the Philippines has repeatedly indicated that it will slash output.

Aluminium

Aluminium prices gained support seen after Russian aluminium giant Rusal forecast demand growing by 5 percent this year. Support also seen after Russian aluminium giant Rusal forecast a global market deficit widening to 1.1 million tonnes. With aluminum premiums on the rise in the U.S. and Europe, and Japanese inventories falling amid growing demand, producers are upping the ante by charging the Pacific Rim a higher premium for the second quarter in a row.

Trading Ideas:

* Aluminium trading range for the day is 122.7-126.1.

* Aluminium prices gained support seen after Russian aluminium giant Rusal forecast demand growing by 5 percent this year.

* With aluminum premiums on the rise in the U.S. and Europe, and Japanese inventories falling amid growing demand.

* Norsk Hydro CEO repeats 3-5 pct growth in aluminium demand in 2017.

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Silver

Silver on MCX settled up 0.77% at 40909 as weakness in the U.S. dollar, following Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision, provided a runway for gains. The Fed on Wednesday lifted benchmark interest rates by a quarter-point as widely expected. The central bank’s statement and forecasts for future rate increases was seen as less aggressive than had been anticipated. Still, some market strategists see near-term headwinds for precious metals, especially since the bullish sentiment spurred by Trump’s proposals to juice the U.S. economy through fiscal-stimulus measures haven’t entirely vanished.

Trading Ideas:

* Silver trading range for the day is 40570-41118.

* The Fed lifted benchmark interest rates by a quarter-point as widely expected.

Crude oil

Crude oil prices settled flat but speculators sharply cut long positions during last week's rout, on concerns that an OPEC production cut was failing to reduce a global supply overhang. The market failed to rebound after Saudi Arabia Minister Khalid al-Falih said the cuts by the OPEC and non-OPEC producers could be extended beyond June if oil stockpiles stayed above long-term averages. Saudi Arabia has cut output by more than its share under the November 2016 deal.

Trading Ideas:

* Crude oil trading range for the day is 3162-3236.

* Crude oil prices settled flat but speculators sharply cut long positions during last week's rout.

Natural gas

Natural gas on MCX settled up 0.68% at 193.3 as lingering cold weather continued to raise the prospect of greater demand. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that natural gas storage in the U.S. declined by 53 billion cubic feet in the week ended March 10, missing market expectations for a drop of 56 billion cubic feet. That compared with a withdrawal of 68 billion cubic feet in the preceding week, 1 billion a year earlier and a five-year average drop of 85 billion cubic feet. Total natural gas in storage currently stands at 2.242 trillion cubic feet, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, 9.5% lower than levels at this time a year ago but 17.6% above the five-year average for this time of year.

Trading Ideas:

* Natural gas trading range for the day is 187.2-196.8.

* Natural gas prices gained as lingering cold weather continued to raise the prospect of greater demand.

* Total natural gas in storage currently stands at 2.242 trillion cubic feet, according to the U.S.

Copper

Copper on MCX settled up 0.77% at 390.75 and posted its biggest weekly gain since mid-February in response to a weak U.S. dollar and ongoing mine supply concerns. The dollar index is down around 1 percent in the week after the U.S. Federal Reserve signalled a slower pace of monetary tightening than expected. A weaker dollar boosts the buying power of non-U.S. investors. Striking workers at Chile's Escondida, the world's biggest copper mine, are blocking attempts by owner BHP Billiton to renew operations at a major port nearby as the stoppage enters its sixth week.

Trading Ideas:

* Copper trading range for the day is 384.1-394.3.

* Copper rose and posted its biggest weekly gain since mid-February in response to a weak U.S. dollar and ongoing mine supply concerns.

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