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At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (forex) market, the local unit opened at 70.04. It moved in a range of 70.07 to 69.76 before finally ending at 69.92, up 2 paise over its previous close.
PTI

Snapping its four-session losing run, the rupee ticked higher by 2 paise to finish at 69.92 against the US dollar Friday. Forex traders said the domestic unit recovered in the later part of the day amid reports that the US is expected to remove India from its currency manipulation watch list.



According to media reports, the US Treasury Department may name Vietnam as a currency manipulator and is expected to remove India and South Korea from its watch list.

However, rising crude oil prices in the overseas market, sustained foreign fund outflows and continuing sell-off in the domestic equity market weighed on the rupee, forex traders added.

At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (forex) market, the local unit opened at 70.04. It moved in a range of 70.07 to 69.76 before finally ending at 69.92, up 2 paise over its previous close.

The rupee had settled at 69.94 against the US dollar Thursday.

During the week, the rupee fell by 70 paise.

"The rupee is under pressure as the trade tension escalated between US and China. Global markets are also under pressure hence the rupee is weakening. In coming sessions, volatility is expected to rise in the rupee as the date of election results approaches," said Rushabh Maru, Research Analyst - Currency and Commodity, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers.

The trade war between the world's two largest economies escalated on Friday after the US more than doubled tariffs on USD 200 billion worth of Chinese products, prompting Beijing to threaten retaliation.

The Trump administration's move comes as high-level officials from both sides are attempting to salvage a trade deal in Washington.

Meanwhile, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) remained net sellers in the capital markets, pulling out Rs 1,245.14 crore Friday, according to provisional data.

The dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, dipped 0.01 percent to 97.36.

Brent crude futures, the global oil benchmark, rose 0.65 percent to USD 70.85 per barrel.

The BSE Sensex slipped for the eighth straight session amid increasing US-China trade tensions. The 30-share BSE benchmark closed 95.92 points, or 0.26 percent, down at 37,462.99. The broader NSE Nifty shed 22.90 points, or 0.20 percent, to settle at 11,278.90.

The Financial Benchmark India Private Ltd (FBIL) set the reference rate for the rupee/dollar at 69.9212 and for rupee/euro at 78.4884. The reference rate for rupee/British pound was fixed at 90.9269 and for rupee/100 Japanese yen at 63.72.

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The lackluster market response comes against the backdrop of a spike in trade tensions between the United States and China and increased investor skepticism about the company's ability to turn profitable soon enough.

Uber Technologies Inc's shares fell nearly 9% in their debut on May 10, marking a rocky start to one of the most high-profile U.S. initial public offerings since Facebook Inc's seven years ago.


The stock's opening at $42 undermined Uber's strategy to price its oversubscribed IPO conservatively at $45 per share to avoid a repeat of rival Lyft Inc's stock market struggles following a strong debut in March.

The lackluster market response comes against the backdrop of a spike in trade tensions between the United States and China and increased investor skepticism about the company's ability to turn profitable soon enough.

The IPO marks a landmark moment for the decade-old company, which was started after its founders struggled to find a cab on a snowy night and grown into the world's largest ride-hailing company, making more than 10 billion trips.

Led by Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi, a team of Uber officials was on the NYSE trading floor to mark the start of the day's trading. Co-founder and former CEO Travis Kalanick, who resigned in 2017 under pressure from investors, was also seen on the trading floor.

The company's road to IPO was marred by several hurdles including increased regulations in several countries and fights with its drivers over wages.

Uber has said that it has the potential to grow not just in the cab-hailing business, but also as a "super app" to provide a variety of logistics services, such as grocery and food delivery, organizing freight transportation, and even financial services, much like Grab, it's Southeast Asian counterpart.

As a private company, Uber has raised more than $15 billion from investors to fuel its growth and expansion into food delivery and freight hauling, with little regard for turning a profit. Uber reported a loss of $3.03 billion in 2018 from operations.

But as a public company, it will have to deal with quarterly earnings reports and demands from shareholders to plot a path to profitability.

The company weathered controversies including the unearthing of a culture of sexism and bullying at Uber to a U.S. Department of Justice federal investigation, which culminated in the resignation of Kalanick

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The company received additional pipe orders of 103 KMT which will be serviced from India.

Shares of Welspun Corp rose nearly 3 percent in the early trade on Friday as company board is going to consider buyback of shares.


The company's board meeting is scheduled on May 14 to consider the proposal of buyback of the fully paid-up equity shares of the company.

The board will also consider the financial results for the year ended March 31, 2019, and recommendation of dividend on equity shares.

Also, the company received additional pipe orders of 103 KMT which will be serviced from India.

The company’s order book stands at 1,698 KMT valued at Rs 149 billion after considering the above additions and the execution up to April 2019.


At 09:22 hrs Welspun Corp was quoting at Rs 143.75, up to Rs 3.75, or 2.68 percent on the BSE.

The share touched its 52-week high Rs 186.90 and 52-week low Rs 89.30 on 06 September 2018 and 18 February 2019, respectively.

Currently, it is trading 23.49 percent below its 52-week high and 60.13 percent above its 52-week low.

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Spot gold firm at $1,280.76 per ounce at 0317 GMT. U.S. gold futures were also steady at $1,281.30.

Today, USD-INR pair is expected to quote in the range of 69.4 and 70.20, says Motilal Oswal.


The Indian rupee opened lower at 69.88 per dollar on Thursday versus previous close 69.71.

On May 8 the rupee registered a third consecutive day fall on the back of rising US-China trade worries and a selloff in domestic equity markets. The rupee ended 29 paise lower at 69.71 per dollar against the US dollar, which is the lowest level since April 24.

The rupee came under pressure in the latter half of the session as uncertainty related to trade talks between the US and China rose. Yesterday, U.S. President Donald Trump said that China “broke the deal” it had reached in trade talks with the US. The U.S. Trade Representative’s office announced that tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods would increase to 25% from 10%, said Motilal Oswal.

Expectations were recently riding high that a deal could be reached, but a deep rift over the language of the proposed agreement opened up last weekend.

Today, USD-INR pair is expected to quote in the range of 69.4 and 70.20, it added.

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While maintaining buy call on Supreme, CLSA said it cut the price to Rs 1,320 from Rs 1,387 per share earlier after it slashed FY20 & 21 earnings estimates by 8 percent.

Supreme Industries shares fell 3 percent intraday on May 8 as brokerages cut their earnings estimates of the company. The company reported its fourth-quarter earnings recently.


The stock was quoting at Rs 1,014, down 2.30 percent on the BSE, at 11:17 hours IST.

While maintaining buy call on Supreme, CLSA said it cut the price to Rs 1,320 from Rs 1,387 per share earlier after it slashed FY20 & 21 earnings estimates by 8 percent.

During March quarter, inventory losses impacted margin and volume growth was moderate at 10 percent YoY, the brokerage said, adding management highlighted peak pricing pressure in cross-laminated films.

CLSA sees an improving demand environment for the piping segment.

The plastics product maker reported a sharp 39 percent year-on-year decline in its March quarter net profit at Rs 101.7 crore, and revenue increased moderately by 4 percent to Rs 1,530.9 crore.

Supreme Industries' plastic piping segment, which contributed around 57 percent to total sales in FY19, posted volume growth of 14.7 percent and value growth of 14 percent for the quarter.

Government initiatives, such as affordable housing, effective implementation of RERA, Swacch Bharat Mission, AMRUT Yojana, and other infrastructure-related activities gave a boost to the plastic piping segment.

For the past eight quarters, the company has been facing increased competition in the cross-laminated film business. This has led to price cuts and a
margin decline. However, management believes margin has bottomed in this segment and does not expect any further price cuts.

"This is evident from the fact there was an improvement of 1 percent in sales per kg and 7 percent in EBITDA per kg in the packaging business during Q4," said Elara Capital which reiterated buy call on the stock but reduced price target to Rs 1,393 from Rs 1,514 earlier.

Management has guided for volume growth of 8-10 percent and sales growth of 12-15 percent for FY20. Margin guidance was in the range of 13.5-
15.0 percent.

Elara Capital kept its sales estimates unchanged while cut EBITDA estimates by 9.0 percent for FY20 and 8.0 percent for FY21 and lower PAT
estimates by 8.8 percent for FY20 and 6.9 percent for FY21. "We do not see any shift in business fundamentals and bullish."

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment expert on Moneycontrol.com are his own and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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The Rhodium Group research firm says China sank $5 billion last year into direct investments in America, down from $29 billion in 2017 and a record $46 billion in 2016. Direct investments include things like putting up factories, not financial investments like buying stocks.

Chinese direct investment in the United States dropped 83 percent last year, pushed down by growing mistrust between the world's two biggest economies.


The Rhodium Group research firm says China sank $5 billion last year into direct investments in America, down from $29 billion in 2017 and a record $46 billion in 2016. Direct investments include things like putting up factories, not financial investments like buying stocks.

The numbers fell partly because Beijing sought to rein in deeply indebted investors and partly because the U.S. regulators have stepped up scrutiny of Chinese investments.

Rhodium estimates that China dropped deals worth $2.5 billion last year because they wouldn't pass muster with the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, which reviews foreign investments with national security implications.

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Stocks in the news: HCL Tech, Asian Paints, Titan, Dilip Buildcon, Alembic Pharma, Yes Bank

Titan Company | Bharat Financial Inclusion | Dilip Buildcon | Alembic Pharmaceuticals and Tata Communications are stocks which are in news today.


Results on May 9: HCL Technologies, Asian Paints, Apollo Tyres, Voltas, Mahanagar Gas, Shankara Building Products, South Indian Bank, Astra Microwave Products, Baba Arts, Cineline India, Centennial Surgical Suture, Cybertech Systems and Software, Dai-Ichi Karkaria,

Dalmia Bharat, Datamatics Global Services, DE Nora India, Esab India, Fairchem Speciality, Gayatri Sugars, Gala Global Products, Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation, Granules India, Grovy India, Gujarat State Petronet, GTL Infrastructure, HCC, Hikal, Hinduja Ventures, Hindustan Media Ventures, ICRA, Inspirisys Solutions, Indian Overseas Bank, Kalpataru Power Transmission, Khaitan Chemicals, Mangalam Drugs, Manorama Industries, Matrimony.com, Mcdowell Holdings, MT Educare, NHC Foods, Nitta Gelatin India, Oracle Financial Services, Huhtamaki PPL, Plastiblends India, PNB Housing Finance, PTL Enterprises, Saint-Gobain Sekurit India, Satia Industries, Solar Industries, Stovec Industries, Sundram Fasteners, Superior Finlease, Sutlej Textiles & Industries, Timex Group India, Varun Beverages, Vardhman Textile

KEC International Q4: Profit falls to Rs 194 crore versus Rs 195.66 crore; revenue rises to Rs 3,841 crore versus Rs 3,662.4 crore YoY.

Hindalco Industries: Subsidiary Novelis Q4 net income at $103 million, adjusted EBITDA at $357 million, and net sales at $3.1 billion.

Titan Company Q4: Consolidated profit rises to Rs 348.3 crore versus Rs 304.41 crore; revenue jumps to Rs 4,888.77 crore versus Rs 4,107.22 crore YoY.

JMC Projects Q4: Profit jumps to Rs 48.70 crore versus Rs 34.28 crore; revenue rises to Rs 937.5 crore versus Rs 723 crore YoY.

Kokuyo Camlin Q4: Profit falls to Rs 4.5 crore versus Rs 5.8 crore; revenue rises to Rs 194 crore versus Rs 190.2 crore YoY.

Tata Communications Q4: Consolidated loss at Rs 198.82 crore versus profit at Rs 173.3 crore; revenue declines to Rs 4,243.5 crore versus Rs 4,269.5 crore QoQ.

Alembic Pharmaceuticals Q4: Profit jumps to Rs 123.7 crore versus Rs 93.99 crore; revenue rises to Rs 927 crore versus Rs 853.3 crore YoY.

Gillette India Q4: Net profit up 36.3% at Rs 48 crore versus Rs 35.5 crore, revenue up 3.1% at Rs 465.6 crore versus Rs 451.5 crore.

Saregama India Q4: Net profit down 24.9% at Rs 16 crore versus Rs 21.4 crore, YoY

Great Eastern Shipping Company: Company has delivered it's 1994 built Very Large Gas Carrier 'Jag Vishnu' to the buyers. The vessel was contracted for sale in January 2019.

Dilip Buildcon: Subsidiary DBL Mangalwedha Solapur Highways Private Limited received financial closure letter from the National Highways Authority of India for four laning of Sangli-Solapur section of NH-166.

Bharat Financial Inclusion: Company assigned a pool of receivables of an aggregate value of Rs 1,107.41 crore to one of the largest private sector banks on a direct assignment basis.

TVS Motor to make an investment in Tagbox Solutions

India Ratings downgrades Yes Bank to 'IND AA-' / Negative

Deepak Fertilisers approved the issue of Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) aggregating to USD 30 million in two equal tranches

Shree Renuka Sugars' Mauritius arm entered a term shtee with a potential investor to explore a transaction, which may result in the company ceasing to hold more than 50% stake in its arm

Religare Enterprises - ICRA Rating revised its long term debt programme rating from ICRA BB to ICRA D and removed from the watch

Balrampur Chini buyback offer to open on May 16 and closes on May 26

Analyst or Board Meet/Briefings

Strides Pharma Science: Company will host earnings call with analysts and investors on May 10.

Solara Active Pharma Sciences: Board meeting is scheduled on May 16 to consider March quarter results.

Cera Sanitaryware: Company will host the Q4 & FY2019 earnings conference call on May 16.

Take Solutions: Board will consider FY19 results & final dividend on May 16.

City Union Bank: Board will consider FY19 results & dividend on May 17.

Ujjivan Financial Services: Company will announce March quarter earnings on May 30.

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Vedanta | RCF | Essel Propack | Neogen Chemicals | Mahindra Logistics and Alembic Pharmaceuticals are stocks which are in the news today.

Results on May 8: Titan Company, Alembic Pharmaceuticals, Chennai Petroleum Corporation, CreditAccess Grameen, Dishman Carbogen Amcis, Dhanlaxmi Bank, Shriram Transport Finance, Tata Communications, Satin Creditcare Network, Alstone Textiles (India), Artemis Global Life Sciences, Artson Engineering, Axiscades Engineering, Dutron Polymers, EID Parry (India), Emami Paper Mills, Gillette India, Indraprastha Medical Corp, International Combustion (India), JK Paper, JMC Projects, JSW Holdings, KEC International, Kokuyo Camlin, Kopran, KSB, Landmarc Leisure Corporation, MAS Financial Services, Morarjee Textiles, Procter & Gamble Hygiene, Pranavaditya Spinning Mills, Rain Industries, RR MetalMakers India, Saregama India, Sharp India, Simplex Mills Company, Simplex Papers, Simplex Realty, Shriram Asset Management, Srikalahasthi Pipes, Trinity League India, Uttam Value Steels, Vertex Securities


Listing on May 8: Neogen Chemicals

Vedanta Q4: Consolidated profit falls 43.3 percent to Rs 3,218 crore versus Rs 5,675 crore; revenue declines 15.1 percent to Rs 23,468 crore versus Rs 27,630 crore YoY.

Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers (RCF) Q4: Profit jumps to Rs 48.47 crore versus Rs 29.54 crore; revenue rises to Rs 2,267 crore versus Rs 1,961 crore YoY.

Star Cement Q4: Consolidated profit jumps to Rs 1.81 crore versus Rs 0.96 crore; revenue rises to Rs 534.43 crore versus Rs 523.3 crore YoY.

Essel Propack Q4: Consolidated profit increases to Rs 52.38 crore versus Rs 44.79 crore; revenue rises to Rs 694 crore versus Rs 628 crore YoY.

ABB Q1 : Net profit down 41.3% at Rs 116.2 crore Vs Rs 197.9 crore; revenue down 5.9% at Rs 1,850 crore Vs Rs 1,966.3 crore, QoQ

CEAT Q4: Net profit down 16.4% at Rs 64.2 crore Vs Rs 76.8 crore; revenue up 4.4% at Rs 1,760.5 crore Vs Rs 1,686.1 crore, YoY

BSE Q4: Net profit down 16.4% at Rs 51.9 crore Vs Rs 62.1 crore, revenue down 20% at Rs 115.7 crore Vs Rs 144.7 crore, YoY

Mahindra Logistics Q4: Consolidated profit rises to Rs 23.91 crore versus Rs 20.88 crore; revenue increases to Rs 1,014.7 crore versus Rs 892.66 crore YoY.

Ingersoll-Rand board meeting on May 16, 2019, to consider final dividend
Gardner Denver Holdings Inc & Charm Merger Sub Inc made an open offer to acquire up to 82,07,680 equity shares at Rs 592.02 per share

Alembic Pharmaceuticals: Company entered into a joint venture agreement with SPH SINE Pharmaceutical Laboratories Co Ltd, China & Adia (Shanghai) Pharma Co Ltd, China.

Mindtree Launches QuikDeploy to Accelerate SAP S/4HANA Transitions

FDC - Fire Incident occurred at the company's Roha plant

DHFL gets National Housing Bank approval for proposed divestment in Aadhar Housing Finance

Ingrid approved the issue and allotment of 299,683,881 units of preferential shares to the institutional investors at the issue price of Rs 83.89 per unit against the floor price of Rs 83.89 per unit, aggregating to Rs 25,140.48 million

Vakrangee announces an alliance with Dish TV India

UNAIDS has signed a non-exclusive Long-Term Agreement (LTA) with Trigyn Technologies' wholly owned subsidiary Trigyn Technologies Inc

Analyst or Board Meet/Briefings

Gujarat Sidhee Cement: Company will announce its March quarter earnings on May 24.

Ramco Systems: Company will announce its March quarter earnings on May 22.

Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys: Company will announce its March quarter earnings on May 18.

Praj Industries: Company will announce its March quarter earnings on May 16.

Central Bank of India: Company will announce its March quarter earnings on May 15.

Kaveri Seed Company: Company will announce its March quarter earnings on May 27.

Mirc Electronics: Company will announce its March quarter earnings on May 29.

Polycab India: Company will announce its March quarter earnings on May 14.

United Breweries: Board to consider FY19 results & dividend on May 20.

NCC: Board to consider FY19 results & dividend on May 24.

IDFC: Board to consider FY19 results & dividend on May 24.

KEI Industries: Board to consider FY19 results & dividend on May 21.

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A sustained trade above this support line i.e. 11,550 can trigger short covering which could take the index towards 11,660-11,730.

On May 6, The Nifty50 index continued to slide lower following a gap-down opening and ended sharply lower amidst a global selloff.


Further, the volatility index simultaneously rose 11 percent in the trade as traders initiated fresh shorts, suggesting weakening uptrend.

However, it managed to take support at the trendline formed joining the recent low of 11,550. A sustained trade above this support line i.e. 11,550 can trigger short covering which could take the index towards 11,660-11,730.

On the flip side, a breakdown from the support of 11,550 can extend the correction towards levels of 11,500-11,425.

Here is a list of top three stocks which could give 8-14% return in the next 3-4 weeks:

Star Cement: Buy| Target: Rs 118-124| Stop Loss: Rs 102| Upside 8-14%

On the daily chart, Star cement is on the verge of a breakout from the neckline of an Ascending Triangle pattern placed at Rs 110.

A sustained trade beyond the neckline will trigger a breakout resuming the uptrend in the stock. Moreover, it has taken support at the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level i.e. 97 and turned higher affirming bullishness intact in the stock.

Moreover, RSI has formed a positive reversal indicating higher levels in the coming trading sessions. The stock can be bought in the range of Rs 108-110 for a target of Rs 118-124, keeping a stop loss below Rs  102.

PNC Infratech: Buy| Target: Rs 168-175| Stop Loss: Rs 145| Upside 9-14%

On the daily chart, PNC Infratech has turned upwards after taking support at the lower end of the channel pattern suggesting bullishness building up in the stock.

Further, on the weekly time frame charts, it is currently consolidating at the neckline of the channel following a bullish breakout.

A sustained trade above Rs 158 will resume the upward journey taking the stock higher towards levels of Rs 168-175.

The RSI has also turned higher after constantly taking support at the 45-level suggesting that bulls are having an upper hand in the stock currently.

The stock can be bought in the range of 153-155 for targets of Rs 168-175, keeping a stop loss below Rs 145.

Blue Star: Buy| Target: Rs 765-790| Stop Loss: Rs 680| Upside 8-11%

On the weekly chart, Blue Star is approaching neckline of an Ascending Triangle pattern placed at Rs 722, a successful breakout from the neckline will take the stock higher to levels of Rs 765-790.

On the daily time frame, it has turned upwards after taking support at the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level in the recent corrections confirming the bullishness.

Further, RSI has turned north after taking support at the 40-level suggesting that there are more legs to this rally following the bullish breakout.

The stock can be bought in the range of Rs 708-712 for targets of Rs 765-790, keeping a stop loss below Rs 680.

(The author is Senior Manager, YES Securities)

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment expert on Moneycontrol.com are his own and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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Bank Nifty could be trading in the range of 30,000-30,400 in upcoming expiry, so a bullish to rangebound strategy Call Butterfly Spread is suggested

The nifty spot was in a consolidation mode last week and was gyrating in a band of 11,650-11,750. It ended the week with a loss of 0.42 percent at 11,710. Bank Nifty band was wide at 29,600 to 30,200 and closed with a loss of 0.39 percent at 30,060.


In the week gone by buying was seen in oil and gas stocks with BPCL up by 3 percent and HPCL and ONGC up by 1-2 percent. Profit booking was seen in FMCG and IT stocks, Britannia was the major loser in FMCG space down by 8 percent followed by Dabur down by 4.5 percent and among IT stocks Hexaware and TCS were major losers both down by 4 percent followed by Infosys and Wipro down by 1-2 percent. Over the week, significant shorts was seen in selected midcap stocks like PC Jeweller and Jet Airways. PC Jeweller price was down 11.4 percent and OI was up 15.8 percent; whereas Jet Airways price was down 26 percent and OI was up 18 percent.

A mix of long unwinding and short buildup were seen in NBFC stocks as significant short was seen in Indiabulls Housing Finance as the price was down 4.5 percent and OI was up 5 percent.

Future data of Indices depicts long unwinding in both Nifty and Bank Nifty.

Due to the uncertainty over Lok Sabha election, India VIX, the fear gauge for Nifty, was up 230 basis suggesting of volatility in this week. Nifty PCR stands as 1.6 and Bank Nifty PCR stands at 1, keeping the room open on the upside.

Nifty options data shows for weekly expiry (May 9), 11,700 could act as strong support as highest Put OI and heavy call writing was seen at 11,800CE (~2.2mn shares), which can act as immediate resistance.

For Bank Nifty options, both call and put are equally congested. 29,900PE can act as immediate support and on the upside, congestion is seen 30,400-30,500CE that can act as immediate resistance. With Put congestion around 29,900PE-30,000PE acting as a support and immediate resistance at 30,400-30,500, Bank Nifty could be trading in the range of 30,000-30,400 in upcoming expiry, so a bullish to rangebound strategy Call Butterfly Spread is suggested.

Call Butterfly Spread is bullish to a rangebound strategy that offers decent reward to risk at low cost. In this strategy, we need to buy 1 ATM Call, Sell 2 OTM Calls near target level and Buy 1 further OTM call to hedge the risk. Maximum profit in this strategy is at Call written strike. As theta decay is fast in weekly options, it is ideal for deploying Call Butterfly Spread.

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रबी की बुआई शुरु हो गई है और पिछले एक साल से जारी दाल और गेहूं की कीमतों में गिरावट अभी भी जारी है। चना को छोड़कर सभी दालें एमएसपी से काफी नीचे हं। सरकार किसानों की आय बढ़ाना चाहती है, लेकिन दाल और गेहूं जमीन छोड़ने को तैयार नहीं। नतीजा ये है कि किसानों की आय में भारी कमी आई है। ऐसे में सरकार ने मटर पर भी अचानक 50 फीसदी की इंपोर्ट ड्यूटी लगा दी है। वहीं गेहूं के इंपोर्ट ड्यूटी को बढ़ाकर दोगुना कर दिया गया है। लेकिन सबसे बड़ा सवाल ये है कि बंपर पैदावार के बाद से नोटबंदी की मार झेल रहा दाल बाजार सरकार के इन कदमों से कितना उबरेगा। सवाल गेहूं को लेकर भी है। विदेश में जब सस्ता है भाव तो फिर घरेलू बाजार में कैसे बढ़ेगा गेहूं का दाम।

चने का भाव 5,000 के नीचे आया है जबकि अरहर 4,000 रुपये प्रति क्विंटल का भाव चल रहा है। वहीं इंदौर में उड़द की दाल की कीमत 3000 रुपये प्रति क्विंटल और मूंग का भाव 4,000 रुपये प्रति क्विंटल है।

सरकार किसानों की आय बढ़ाना चाहती है, इसलिए सरकार ने मटर पर 50 फीसदी इंपोर्ट ड्यूटी लगाने का फैसला किया है। वहीं अरहर, मूंग और उड़द का इंपोर्ट बंद कर दिया है जबकि गेहूं पर इंपोर्ट ड्यूटी दोगुनी कर 20 फीसदी इंपोर्ट ड्यूटी लगाई गई है।

दरअसल, दाल में मंदी की वजह की बात करें तो पिछले साल 220 लाख टन की बंपर पैदावार हुई थी जबकि इस साल 229 लाख टन पैदावार का लक्ष्य था। लेकिन मंडियों में दाल की ओवर सप्लाई होने के कारण ग्लोबल मार्केट में दाल भारत से भी सस्ते कीमतों में मिल रही है।

इधर विदेशी बाजार में गेहूं भारत से सस्ते कीमतों पर मिल रहा है। वित्त वर्ष 2017 में करीब 57 लाख टन गेहूं इंपोर्ट किया गया। इस साल करीब 22 लाख टन इंपोर्ट का अनुमान है। इस साल 9.84 करोड़ टन गेहूं की पैदावार हुई है। इस बार 9.75 करोड़ टन गेहूं पैदावार का लक्ष्य है।

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Demand for physical gold in Asia remained tepid this week as high prices kept buyers on the sidelines despite the start of the wedding season in India. Gold is considered an essential part of weddings in India, the world's second-biggest consumer of the metal after China, and it is a popular gift for special occasions. Retail buyers are waiting for a correction. Jewellers need to replenish inventory but, they want to do it at lower levels.

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Coriander futures edged lower on NCDEX as participants cut down their positions amid subdued domestic as well as export demand in the spot market. Besides, adequate stocks position on increased supplies from major producing regions also influenced coriander futures. The contract for November delivery was trading at Rs 4905.00, down by 0.89% or Rs 44.00 from its previous closing of Rs 4949.00. The open interest of the contract stood at 6160 lots.

The contract for December delivery was trading at Rs 5010.00, down by 0.67% or Rs 34.00 from its previous closing of Rs 5044.00. The open interest of the contract stood at 35830 lots on NCDEX.

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Cardamom futures were trading higher during the morning trade in the domestic market on Friday as investors and speculators extended their positions in the agri-commodity amid rise in physical demand for cardamom in the domestic spot market. Further, insufficient supplies on higher physical arrivals from the major cardamom producing regions, supported the upward trend in the domestic cardamom prices.

At the MCX, cardamom futures for December 2017 contract was trading at Rs 980 per kg, up by 0.80 per cent, after opening at Rs 970, against a previous close of Rs 972.20. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 993.

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Chana Dec futures traded on positive note on Thursday but still continue to trade in a tight range pressured by good start to rabi sowing and higher stock levels in the country. However, support in chana prices is seen due to hike in 50 percent import tax on all pea by the government.

Outlook

Chana futures may trade sideways to down on sufficient stocks and good start to rabi sowing in the country. Hike in import duty in all peas may support prices.

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MCX Cotton Nov futures closed higher tracking good surge in kapas contract in NCDEX. However, prices of cotton is trading steady as arrivals have increase in the country. Moreover, cotton exports from country may be affected due to hike in procurement prices in largest producing state of Gujarat. In November, cotton traded sideways in a range on higher than expected cotton production in the country. 

CCI has stared its procurement from Telangana and some parts of Gujarat and estimated to have procured about 62,000 bales at MSP this season. The arrivals in the current season during Oct are about 20.27 lakh bales compared to 18.72 lakh bales last year as per ICC.

Outlook

Cotton futures are expected trade sideways to higher as CCI has already start its procurement in main cotton growing states. Procurement by government will support prices as it increase the demand from the stockists, mills and physical traders They have a target to procure 100 lakh bales this season. Good demand for kapas may also support cotton prices.

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CPO trading range for the day is 558.2-580. Crude palm oil dropped as pressure seen after the government did not take any decision on increasing import duty on edible oil for now. For the second first half of Nov, the base import price for crude palm oil and refined, bleached and deodorised palm oil were raised by $2 and $3 per tn.

During Nov-Sep period, crude palm oil import is 57.34 lakh tonnes, up 9.5% from 52.34 lt during the same period of the previous oil year. Crude palm oil prices in spot market gained by 2.90 rupees and settled at 554.20 rupees.

SELL CPO NOV 2017 @ 569.00 SL 574.00 TGT 564.00-560.00.MCX.

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