Ripples Advisory News Update's

Crude palm Oil on MCX settled up by 0.31% at 578.5 on increasing demand and on rising concerns about production. Malaysia palm oil exports during Jan 1-31 rose 8.13% compared to a month earlier on strong demand from Indian & Subcontinent and Middle East, data showed. Malaysia palm oil exports climbed to 1.17 million tons during Jan 1-31 compared to 1.08 million tons for the same period a month ago, DowJones reported citing data from Intertek, a private surveyor. India's palm oil imports from Malaysia during Jan 1-31 rose by 3.77% to 222,100 tons as compared to 214,025 tons imported during Dec 1-31. 

Indonesia Palm and kernel production fell 3% to 34.5 million tons in 2016 from a year earlier, Indonesian Palm Oil Association GAPKI, says in a statement. CPO output dropped by 3% to 31.5 million tons in 2016 on yearly basis, Gapki said. China’s imports plunged 24 percent to 4.48 million metric tons in 2016, the lowest since 2005, as benchmark futures surged 25 percent after El Nino squeezed supplies in Indonesia and Malaysia. 

Technically market is under fresh buying as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 0.61% to settled at 3610 while prices up 1.8 rupees, now CPO is getting support at 577 and below same could see a test of 575.4 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 579.9, a move above could see prices testing 581.2.     

Naturalgas on MCX settled up 0.93% at 228.9 as prices seen supported after data showed that natural gas supplies in storage in the U.S. fell more than expected last week. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that natural gas storage in the U.S. declined by 119 billion cubic feet in the week ended January 20, exceeding market expectations for a drop of 117 billion cubic feet. That compared with a withdrawal of 243 billion cubic feet in the preceding week, 211 billion a year earlier and a five-year average drop of 176 billion cubic feet. 

• Naturalgas trading range for the day is 219.8-234.8.
• Natural gas gained as prices seen supported after data showed that natural gas supplies in storage in the U.S. fell more than expected last week.  
• The US EIA said in its weekly report that natural gas storage in the U.S. declined by 119 billion cubic feet in the week ended January 20.

Cement maker India Cements Ltd on Friday said it closed the third quarter of the current fiscal with a net profit of Rs 35.34 crore as compared to Rs 3.16 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2015.

In a regulatory filing with BSE, the company also said its total income has increased from Rs 1,066.13 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 to Rs 1,270.95 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2016.

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Naturalgas trading range for the day is 221.1-232.5.Naturalgas on MCX settled down on Wednesday while Natural gas prices on NYMEX extended its gain upside by +1.50%.A relatively cold weather system will track across the East, leaving much of the country much colder compared to recent weeks.Natural gas inventories report showed a draw of -119Bcf versus expectations for inventory to be a draw of approximately -121 Bcf.

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Menthaoil trading range for the day is 1005.1-1027.5.Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1121.40 per 1kg. Spot prices is up by Rs.3.00-.Mentha oil prices gained on the back of pick-up in demand at domestic spot market.Besides, tight stocks position following restricted arrivals from major producing belts of Chandausi in Uttar Pradesh also provided support to mentha oil prices.At Bareilly market arrivals were reported at 1 Drums(1-drum-180kg), down by 4 Drums(1-drum-180kg) from previous trading day.

भारतीय बास्केट के कच्चे तेल की अंतर्राष्ट्रीय कीमत गुरुवार को 53.18 डॉलर प्रति बैरल दर्ज की गई। यह बुधवार को दर्ज कीमत 54.09 डॉलर प्रति बैरल से कम है। पेट्रोलियम एवं प्राकृतिक गैस मंत्रालय के अधीनस्थ पेट्रोलियम नियोजन एवं विश्लेषण प्रकोष्ठ (पीपीएसी) द्वारा शुक्रवार को यह जानकारी दी गई। 

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भारतीय बास्केट के कच्चे तेल की कीमत रुपये के संदर्भ में गुरुवार को घटकर 3625.68 रुपये प्रति बैरल हो गई, जबकि बुधवार को यह 3674.91 रुपये प्रति बैरल थी। रुपया गुरुवार को कमजोर होकर 68.18 रुपये प्रति डॉलर के स्तर पर बंद हुआ, जबकि बुधवार को यह 67.94 रुपये प्रति डॉलर था।

अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति पद पर ट्रंप की आज ताजपोशी है। आज वे कामकाज संभालेंगे और इस पूरे इवेंट पर बाजार की नजर टिकी हुई है। ग्लोबल मार्केट में सोना जहां 2 महीने की ऊंचाई के पास है, वहीं चांदी भी 17 डॉलर के ऊपर टिकने में कामयाब है। नजर डॉलर की चाल पर है, वैसे ट्रंप की जीत के बाद डॉलर करीब 4 फीसदी मजबूत होकर थोड़ा सा नीचे आया है।

माना ये जा रहा है कि ट्रंप अमेरिकी एक्सपोर्ट और मैन्युफैक्चरिंग को बढ़ावा दे सकते हैं। क्योंकि वहां नौकरियां बढ़ाने के लिए उन्हें ऐसा करना जरूरी होगा। लेकिन ऐसा करने के लिए डॉलर पर काबू पाना जरुरी होगा, क्योंकि डॉलर में ज्यादा तेजी से उनका ग्रोथ प्लान बिगड़ सकता है। ऐसी स्थिति में डॉलर में अगर दबाव बनता है तो सोने के लिए से पॉजिटिव होगा और इसीलिए डॉलर में आई गिरावट से सोना 2 महीने के ऊपरी स्तर के पास कारोबार कर रहा है। डॉलर में नरमी सिर्फ सोने के लिए ही नहीं बल्कि, चांदी और कच्चे तेल को भी सपोर्ट करेगी। बहरहाल आज डॉलर में दबाव है और इससे रुपये को सपोर्ट मिला है।

1. सोना (फरवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 28750, स्टॉपलॉस - 28850, लक्ष्य - 28450.
2. चांदी (मार्च वायदा) : बेचें - 41600, स्टॉपलॉस - 41800, लक्ष्य - 40900.
3. कॉपर (फरवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 395, स्टॉपलॉस - 398, लक्ष्य - 389.
4. जिंक (जनवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 187, स्टॉपलॉस - 188.90, लक्ष्य - 182.
5. लेड (जनवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 156.50, स्टॉपलॉस - 158.50, लक्ष्य - 152.
6. एल्युमिनियम (जनवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 124.50, स्टॉपलॉस - 126, लक्ष्य - 121.
7. सरसों (एप्रिल वायदा) : खरीदें - 3920, स्टॉपलॉस - 3900, लक्ष्य - 3960.
8. सोया रिफाइंड (फरवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 723, स्टॉपलॉस - 725, लक्ष्य - 718.
9. मेंथा ऑयल (जनवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 1035, स्टॉपलॉस - 1045, लक्ष्य - 1011.
10. सोना एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा): बेचें - 28700, स्टॉपलॉस - 28850, लक्ष्य - 28500.
11. चांदी एमसीएक्स (मार्च वायदा): बेचें - 41500, स्टॉपलॉस - 41800, लक्ष्य - 41000.

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India has attracted USD 418 million foreign direct investment (FDI) during April 2014 - September 2016 in diamond, gold and ornaments, the Commerce and Industry Ministry said as per the PTI report. Listing details of major FDI equity inflow during the period, it said Mauritius-based Highdell Investments has invested USD 193.18 million in Kalyan Jewellers.

During the last two years (April 2014 - September 2016), a total of USD 418 million has been received as FDI equity inflow in diamond, gold and ornaments," the Ministry said in its achievement report on gems and jewellery sector. It is one of the focus sectors in the 'Make in India' initiative of the government.

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The gems and jewellery sector in India is one of the largest in the world and contributes to about 29 per cent of the global consumption. In 2014-15, the sector constituted 13.3 per cent of the country's total merchandise exports. The industry currently employs around 4.5 million skilled and semi-skilled workers across India and is expected to provide employment opportunities to more than 8.23 million persons by 2022. 

The gems and jewellery sector in India is one of the largest in the world and contributes to about 29 % of the global consumption. In 2014-15, the sector constituted 13.3 % of the country's total merchandise exports. 

The industry currently employs around 4.5 million skilled and semi-skilled workers across India and is expected to provide employment opportunities to more than 8.23 million persons by 2022. 

Aluminium futures were little changed during morning trade in the domestic market on Wednesday as investors and speculators build up fresh bets in the industrial metal amid an increase in physical demand for aluminium at the domestic spot market.Click Here http://ripplesadvisory.com.

At the MCX, aluminium futures for January 2017 contract is trading at Rs 122.30 per kg, up by 0.04 per cent, after opening at Rs 122, against a previous close of Rs 122.25. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 122.40.

                Trading Ideas

1. Aluminium trading range for the day is 119.6-124.2. 

2. Aluminium gained tracking LME prices supported by expectations that Chinese smelters would shut over the northern hemisphere  winter. 

3. Aluminium stocks at three major Japanese ports stood at 275,500 tonnes at the end of December, up 14.8 percent from the previous month.

4. Aluminum daily stocks at Shanghai exchange came up by 721 tonnes. 

Cardamom futures were trading lower during morning trade in the domestic market on Wednesday as investors and speculators remained on the sidelines in the agri-commodity amid muted physical demand for cardamom in the domestic spot market. Further, sufficient supplies on higher physical arrivals from the major cardamom producing regions, influenced the downward trend in the domestic cardamom prices. 

At the MCX, cardamom futures for February 2017 contract is trading at Rs 1560.10 per kg, down by 0.59 per cent, after opening at Rs 1565, against a previous close of Rs 1569.40. It touched the intra-day low of Rs 1553.20.

सोने और चांदी में की चमक बढ़ गई है। ग्लोबल मार्केट में सोना 1215 डॉलर तक जा चुका है जबकि चांदी 17 डॉलर के पार है। अंतरराष्ट्रीय बाजार में तेजी का असर घरेलू बाजार पर भी पड़ा है। वहीं, क्रेडिट सुईस ने कहा है कि इस साल सोने का औसत भाव 1338 डॉलर तक जा सकता है। दरअसल डॉलर में गिरावट से सोने को लगातार सपोर्ट मिल रहा है। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर सोना 0.1 फीसदी की मामूली बढ़त के साथ 28750 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। चांदी 0.15 फीसदी बढ़कर 41665 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रही है।

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कच्चे तेल में आज भारी उठापटक हो रहा है। ग्लोबल मार्केट में तेजी आई है, जबकि घरेलू बाजार में गिरावट का रुख है। ब्रेंट क्रूड का भाव 55.7 डॉलर पर पहुंच गया है, जबकि नायमैक्स पर डब्ल्यूटीआई क्रूड 52.7 डॉलर पर कारोबार कर रहा है। हालांकि एमसीएक्स पर कच्चा तेल 0.5 फीसदी फिसलकर 3580 रुपये पर आ गया है। वहीं, नैचुरल गैस 0.25 फीसदी की बढ़त के साथ 232.2 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है।

बेस मेटल में कॉपर और एल्युमीनियम को छोड़कर आज सभी मेटल ऊपर हैं। फिलहाल एमसीएक्स पर एल्युमीनियम 0.1 फीसदी गिरा है, जबकि कॉपर सपाट होकर 394.25 रुपये पर कारोबार कर रहा है। हालांकि एमसीएक्स पर निकेल 0.7 फीसदी की तेजी के साथ 692.6 रुपये पर पहुंच गया है। लेड में 0.15 फीसदी की मामूली बढ़त दिख रही है, तो जिंक 0.75 फीसदी की मजबूती के साथ 185.4 रुपये पर पहुंच गया है।

1. चांदी एमसीएक्स (मार्च वायदा) : बेचें - 41850, स्टॉपलॉस - 42180 और लक्ष्य - 41400.

2. सोना एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 28825, स्टॉपलॉस - 28935 और लक्ष्य - 28620.

3. कच्चा तेल एमसीएक्स (जनवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 3550, स्टॉपलॉस - 3510 और लक्ष्य - 3620.

4. नैचुरल गैस एमसीएक्स (जनवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 230, स्टॉपलॉस - 237.5 और लक्ष्य - 235.

5. कॉपर एमसीएक्स (फरवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 392.5, स्टॉपलॉस - 389 और लक्ष्य - 397.

6. निकेल एमसीएक्स (जनवरी वायदा) : खरीदें - 685, स्टॉपलॉस - 677 और लक्ष्य - 700.

7. जिंक एमसीएक्स (जनवरी वायदा) : बेचें - 186, स्टॉपलॉस - 187.3 और लक्ष्य - 184.

Silver futures rose over 1%  during evening trade in the domestic market on Tuesday as investors and speculators extended their positions in the precious metal on safe-haven demand amid lingering concerns over UK’s impending break from the EU and fears over US policy ahead of the President-elect Trump's inauguration on January 20.

Investors keenly eyed the British Prime Minister Theresa May’s speech today in which she may say that the UK is likely to pull out of the single market for goods and services and seek a completely new trading relationship with the bloc.

At the MCX, silver futures for March 2017 contract is trading at Rs 41,446 per kg, up by 1.19 per cent, after opening at Rs 41,114, against a previous close of Rs 40,960. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 41,547.

Domestic mobile wallet major MobiKwik on Tuesday announced that it registered 10 times growth within the past week in transactions from the oil and  gas sector.

Mobikwik powers digital payments for all major petrol vends of Hindustan Petroleum, Bharat Petroleum and Indian Oil in 20 cities.

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"Within the past week, we have achieved 10 times growth in transactions and are certain that the oil and gas sector will contribute tremendously to our growth in 2017," said Upasana Taku, co-founder, MobiKwik, in a statement. 

"Petrol and diesel are daily necessities and we have been working aggressively to drive adoption of digital payments in the sector," Taku added. MobiKwik recently announced zero surcharge on all transactions from oil and gas sector.

Cotton prices in spot market dropped by 260.00 rupees and settled at 19760.00 rupees.Cotton on MCX settled down by -1.05% at 19780 on subdued demand from bulk consumers and increasing arrivals in domestic market. The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) trimmed India's domestic cotton consumption to 23.25 million bales as compared to 23.75 million bales previous estimates. Waning of demonetization effect amid better price realization at physical market may lead to higher supply in coming days which may result as price correction at futures platform. 

  USDA hiked India's ending stockpile projection to 12.09 million bales as compared to 11.79 million bales previous forecast. According to the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC), cotton prices in the global market are likely to decline in the second half of 2016 -17 amid increase in production and steady demand. The ICAC Secretariat has forecast the season-average for Cotlook A Index in 2016-17 (starting October-September) will range between 66 and 83 cents per lb, with a midpoint of 74 cents/lb, which would be 4 cents/lb higher than last season.

 Global cotton production is expected to increase by 8 % to 22.8 million tonnes and global consumption is likely to remain steady at 24.1 million tonnes thereby putting pressure on prices. Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -5.13% to settled at 4306 while prices down -210 rupee, now Cotton is getting support at 19684 and below same could see a test of 19587 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 19954, a move above could see prices testing 20127.           

Cardamom futures were trading higher during morning trade in the domestic market on Tuesday as investors and speculators build up fresh bets in the agri-commodity amid uptick in physical demand for cardamom in the domestic spot market.

Further, insufficient supplies on restricted physical arrivals from the major cardamom producing regions, supported the upward trend in the domestic cardamom prices.

At the MCX, cardamom futures for February 2017 contract is trading at Rs 1565 per kg, up by 0.62 %, after opening at Rs 1560, against a previous close of Rs 1555.30. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 1580.

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GOLD

SUPPORT: 28250/28400

RESISTANCE: 28650/28750

TREND: UP

SILVER 

SUPPORT: 40200/40600 

RESISTANCE: 41300/41700 

TREND: UP 

CRUDE OIL 

SUPPORT: 3470/3530 

RESISTANCE: 3630/3690 

TREND: SIDEWAYS 

COPPER 

SUPPORT: 390/395 

RESISTANCE: 400/405 

TREND: UP

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Gold prices inched up on Tuesday, after hitting more than seven-week highs in the prior session, ahead of a speech by British Prime Minister Theresa May on plans for a "hard Brexit", which could dent risk sentiment and boost 
safe-haven assets like gold.
               FUNDAMENTALS
 * Spot gold had risen 0.1 percent to $1,203.89 per ounce by 0133 GMT. Bullion hit a more than seven-week high of $1,207.86 in the previous session. 
* U.S. gold futures were up 0.6 percent at $1,203.70 per ounce.

* Britain will not seek a Brexit deal that leaves it "half in, half out" of the European Union, Prime Minister Theresa May will say on Tuesday, according to her office, in a speech setting out her 12 priorities for upcoming divorce talks with the bloc.http://ripplesadvisory.com  Click here and watch out.

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