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Mustard seed

Mustard seed is trading at Rs 4,050 per quintal in the benchmark Jaipur market. In the coming days, prices are expected to head towards Rs 4,125 per quintal. Expectations of good demand for oil after the market reopens post Holi holidays, coupled with strong demand for cake and meal would support demand from processors.

Cotton seed oilcake

Cotton seed oilcake prices have fallen by 15 per cent in 2018 so far, and are close to the seasonal lows of Rs 1,400 per quintal.

Since then, the crop size estimate has been cut sharply. Good export demand for the new crops such as mustard meal and the sharp rally in soybean meal will attract bargain buying for cotton seed oilcake from the cattle feed industry. Current cotton seed oilcake prices in Akola are around Rs 1,550. Expect prices to rise to Rs 1,600 and more in the next ten days.
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Genetic engineering, molecular breeding, and organic farming hogged the discussions during the five-day National Banana Festival, the first ever of its kind to be held, that drew to a close in rural Thiruvananthapuram on Wednesday.


Banana farming assumes much importance in the Indian scenario since the country ranks first in global banana production and accounts for 25.58 percent of global production. It also makes for 36.6 percent of the total fruit production in the country.

Provider of jobs

Banana and plantain are widely grown in Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Odisha, Bihar, east Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal and the North-Eastern States.

The banana industry provides employment to thousands of people. It is also a fact that only one percent of the banana produced is exported. Also organic banana, it has been revealed, is an emerging sector in global trade.

Special agri zones

The 32 Special Agricultural Zones declared by the Kerala government would help increase the productivity of different crops native to those regions. The entire Thrissur district has been declared a Special Agricultural Zone for a banana.

The Centre’s Mission for Integrated Development of Horticulture (MIHD) scheme has benefited banana farmers. The Union Minister said the Centre is committed to providing the required assistance to farmers for all horticulture crops.

Stress-resistant genes

“The Musa wild species and its allied species form an important source of resistant genes for biotic and abiotic stresses. Biotic and abiotic stresses are the main constraints that reduce productivity considerably.

“Production constraints also vary from region to region. The complexity of problems calls for basic, strategic, and adaptive research to maximize the productivity of banana crops.”

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The nickel futures contract on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) fell in the past week.


The contract made a high of ₹917.8 per kg on last Thursday and has come-off from there. It has tumbled 4.7 percent from this high and is currently trading at ₹875. The near-term view is negative. The contract can extend the downmove to test the 21-day moving average support at ₹862.

A break below ₹862 will drag the contract further lower towards the crucial ₹850-847 support region. Whether the contract manages to bounce from this support zone or not will then decide the next move.

A decisive break below ₹847 will increase the likelihood of the contract tumbling towards ₹830 or ₹825 on the back of profit booking.

On the other hand, if the contract manages to bounce from the ₹850-₹847 support zone, the downside pressure would ease.

A bounce back towards ₹900 and ₹910 is likely in such a scenario. It will also indicate the formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern on the chart. This is a bullish continuation pattern and in this case, it will mean that the uptrend is intact and could resume going forward.

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A volume of 10.34 lakh kg has been cataloged for Sale No: 8 of the auctions of Coonoor Tea Trade Association to be held on Thursday and Friday.


It is some 41,000 kg more than the offer for last week’s auctions.

Of this, 6.86 lakh kg belongs to leaf grades and 3.48 lakh kg, dust grades. As much as 9.45 lakh kg belongs to CTC variety and only 89,000 kg, orthodox variety. The proportion of orthodox teas continues to be low in both leaf and dust grades. In the leaf counter, only 49,000 kg belongs to orthodox while 6.37 lakh kg, CTC. Among the dust, only 40,000 kg belongs to orthodox while 3.08 lakh kg, CTC.

Homedale Estate’s Red Dust, auctioned by Global Tea Brokers, topped not only the Dust tea auctions but the entire auction last week when TRP Tea and Commodities bought it for ₹277 a kg. This was the highest price of any tea, CTC or orthodox, from any factory, corporate or bought-leaf. Homedale Estate’s Super Red Dust tea, auctioned by Global Tea Brokers, followed at ₹268.

In the CTC Leaf Tea auctions, Homedale Estate tea, auctioned by Global Tea Brokers, topped at ₹265 followed by Vigneshwar Estate tea, auctioned by Paramount Tea Marketing at ₹205.

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Traders said gold prices took a hit owing to a weak global trend as the dollar remained firm, while investors awaited the minutes of the US Fed's last policy meeting


Gold tumbled by Rs 250 to Rs 31,450 per ten gram at the bullion market on Thursday in tandem with a weakening global trend amid easing demand from local jewelers.

Silver followed suit and slipped by Rs 140 to Rs 39,300 per kg on reduced offtake by industrial units and coin makers.

Traders said gold prices took a hit owing to a weak global trend as the dollar remained firm, while investors awaited the minutes of the US Fed's last policy meeting.

Globally, gold fell 0.21 percent to $1,325.90 an ounce and silver by 0.18 percent to $16.39 an ounce in Singapore on Thursday.

Besides, easing demand from local jewelers and retailers at domestic spot market weighed on gold prices.

In the national capital, gold of 99.9 percent and 99.5 percent purity plunged by Rs 250 each to Rs 31,450 and Rs 31,300 per ten gram, respectively.

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Non-scheduled drugs and diagnostic services constituted major components of charges billed to patients in four private hospitals with margins as high as 1,192 percent, drug pricing regulator NPPA said on Tuesday.


For consumables such as a three-way stopcock, BI valve, GS-3040, the margins were even higher. The purchase price of the device for the hospital was Rs 5.77 and a 1,737 percent margin on procurement price was charged, it added.

This has emerged from an analysis done by the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) after "some unfortunate deaths because of dengue and other ailments in four reputed private hospitals" in Delhi and NCR, the regulator said in a memorandum.

"Institutional bulk purchases by private hospitals, which in most cases keep a pharmacy of their own, makes it easier for them to get very high-profit margins and indulge in profiteering on drugs and devices even without the need to violate the MRPs, which is already enough inflated," the NPPA said.

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Copper futures were trading lower in the domestic market on Monday as speculators booked profits amid easing demand in the spot market. Analysts said besides profit-booking by participants, fall in demand from consuming industries in the physical market influenced copper prices in futures trade.


At the MCX, copper futures for February 2018 contract was trading at Rs 460.50 per kg, down by 0.22 percent, after opening at Rs 461.30, against a previous close of Rs 461.50. It touched the intra-day low of Rs 459.80.

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The aluminum futures contract on the Multi Commoaluminumange (MCX) fell breaking below the crucial support level of ₹135 a kg last week.


However, the contract failed to sustain lower and reversed sharply higher after making a low of ₹135.5 on Wednesday. The strong upwards reversal from the low of ₹135.5 suggests that the contract lack fresh sellers to drag it strongly below ₹137. It also indicates that the contract attracts fresh buying interest at lower levels.

The contract is currently trading at ₹141 per kg. The near-term outlook is positive. Immediate resistance is at ₹143 which is likely to be tested in the near-term. Inability to break above ₹143 can drag the contract lower towards ₹140 or even ₹137 again.

But, if the contract manages to break above ₹143 in the coming days, it can move further higher to test the next crucial resistance levels of ₹145 and ₹146. A strong break above ₹146 is needed for the contract to gain fresh momentum. Such a break will increase the likelihood of the contract targeting ₹150 over the medium-term.

On the other hand, the outlook will turn negative only if it breaks and closes decisively below ₹137. Such a break will increase the likelihood of the contract tumbling towards ₹133 on the back of profit-booking.

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Pepper gains on demand


Spot pepper gained on Monday on buying support from the domestic market. On the terminal market, 33 tonnes mainly from the high ranges and the Wayanad district were traded today. Of the high range material, Rajkumari pepper was traded at ₹405 a kg and the rest went for ₹400. Pulpally and Battery pepper were sold at ₹395. Sellers from the plains were asking for ₹390 but the buyers were offering at ₹375-380 a kg. Spot prices moved up by ₹200 a quintal to close at ₹38,800 (ungarbled) and ₹40,800 (garbled) a quintal. Export prices were at $6,575 a tonne c&f for Europe and $6,825 a tonne c&f for the US.

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Oil markets were split on Tuesday, with US crude was pushed up by reduced flows from Canada while international Brent prices eased. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $62.16 a barrel at 0153 GMT, up 48 cents, or 0.8 percent, from their last settlement.


Traders said the higher WTI prices were a result of reduced flows from Canada's Keystone pipeline, which has been operating below capacity since late last year due to a leak, cutting Canadian supplies into the United States.

Outside North America, Brent crude eased on the back of a dip in Asian stocks and a stronger dollar, which potentially curbs demand as it makes fuel more expensive for countries using other currencies domestically. Brent crude futures were at $65.23 per barrel, down 44 cents, or 0.7 percent, from their last close.

Despite this, oil markets remain well supported due to supply restraint by the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which started last year in order to draw down excess global inventories. OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said on Monday the organization registered 133 percent compliance with agreed output reduction targets in January.

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On the other hand, imports of cut and polished diamonds have dipped by 12.91 percent to $1.8 billion during the same period


Imports of rough diamonds have increased by 11.11 percent to USD 15.53 billion during the April-January period of the current fiscal, according to Gems and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC).

The imports had aggregated to USD 13.97 billion in the 10-month period of last fiscal, 2016-17. The inbound shipments of gold bars also rose by 18.2 percent to USD 4.37 billion during the April-January period of 2017-18.

However, imports of cut and polished diamonds dipped by 12.91 percent to USD 1.88 billion during the period under review as compared to USD 2.16 billion a year ago.

The GJEPC data further showed that exports of gems and jewelry declined by 4.71 percent to USD 27.5 billion during the period under review due to demand slowdown in major markets, including the US.

The labor-intensive sector contributes about 14 percent to the country's overall exports.

The drop in shipments is mainly due to negative growth in the export of gold medallions and coins.

The industry has asked for support in terms of increasing incentives under the Merchandise Exports from India Scheme (MEIS) to boost the shipments.

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Dhaniya futures on the NCDEX traded on a negative note last week. Subdued demand, as buyers stayed away from the market waiting for the peak harvesting season, pushed the prices lower.


The most active April contract made a four-week low of ₹5,470 per quintal on Friday and closed at ₹5,496, down 4 percent for the week.

Dhaniya futures are expected to trade lower in the coming week as well. Though there is a possibility of an intermediate upmove on the back of profit booking, the prices are expected to retain their downtrend. Higher supplies from major producing regions on the back of the peak harvesting season could continue to keep dhaniya prices under pressure.

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India still managed to maintain its position as a net exporter of finished steel


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India's export of finished steel shrank by over 30 percent to 0.616 million tonnes (MT) during January 2018, according to the government's Joint Plant Committee (JPC).

The country had exported 0.890 MT of finished steel during the same month a year ago.

Exports should account for 6-7 percent of India's total steel production in the next few years, up from the 1.5 percent at present, Union Steel Minister Chaudhary Birender Singh had earlier said.

The import of finished steel too fell by 44.5 percent to 0.335 MT in January 2018 from 0.604 MT during January 2017.

In spite of a drop in exports number as well as imports, India managed to maintain its position as a net exporter of finished steel.

"India was a net exporter of total finished steel in January 2018 as also during April-January 2017-18," the JPC said.
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Cardamom futures were trading higher during the morning trade in the domestic market on Friday as investors and speculators extended their positions in the agri-commodity amid rise in physical demand for cardamom in the domestic spot market. Further, insufficient supplies on higher physical arrivals from the major cardamom producing regions, supported the upward trend in the domestic cardamom prices.


At the MCX, cardamom futures for March 2018 contract was trading at Rs 1155 per kg, up by 0.37 per cent, after opening at Rs 1157, against a previous close of Rs 1150.70. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 1157.

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Oil prices edged higher on Friday as the dollar stood near a three-year low in subdued Asian trade, with many markets closed for the Lunar New Year holiday.


NYMEX crude for March delivery was up 16 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $61.50 a barrel by 0200 GMT, after settling up 74 cents on Thursday. For the week, the contract has risen nearly 4 percent after losing nearly 10 percent last week.

London Brent crude was up 26 cents, or 0.4 percent, at $64.59 after settling down 3 cents. Brent is up nearly 3 percent for the week after falling more than 8 percent last week.

"Oil is getting support from a rebound in global stock markets and a weak dollar, but the upside is limited due to a projection for rising U.S. production," said Tomomichi Akuta, senior economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting in Tokyo.

"The market is quiet due to a slew of holidays in Asia."

The dollar languished near a three-year low against a basket of currencies on Friday, headed for its biggest weekly loss in nine months. A weaker dollar often boosts prices for oil and other dollar-denominated commodities.

Asian shares extended their recovery from two-month lows into a fifth day on Friday as Wall Street's market volatility gauge fell, although Chinese and most Southeast Asian financial markets were closed for the Lunar New Year holiday.

Oil producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia aim to draft an agreement on a long-term alliance by the end of this year, United Arab Emirates energy minister Suhail al-Mazroui said on Thursday.

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TWG looks to build its brand in a nation of tea drinkers


It took ten years for the first TWG Tea boutique to throw open its doors in India. Surprising that for a brand that is built around tea, a drink that is as much of a necessity as it is a political statement in the country.

But TWG Tea that has 70 salons and boutiques in close to 16 countries chose to take its time and has finally launched with two boutiques in New Delhi, one located inside The Oberoi and another at the DLF Emporio mall. Why did it take so long and is India ready for a luxury brand in what is considered to be the common man’s beverage? Taha Bouqdib...

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Data compiled by Agricultural and Processed Food Export Development Authority showed over 15% decline in export of fresh vegetables


India is gradually shifting its focus from the export of fresh horticulture products to processed ones for better realization and to beat the stringent import quality norms set by West Asian and European countries.

Data compiled by the Agricultural and Processed Food Export Development Authority (Apeda) showed an over 15 percent decline in export of fresh vegetables to $581 million during April-December 2017 from $686 million in the year-ago period. Export of processed vegetables, however, rose 3.9 percent to $197 million during the period from $190 million in the same period last year.

Similarly, export of fresh fruits declined 4.3 percent to $391 million during the first nine months of the current financial year from $408 million a year ago. Shipment of processed fruits and juices rose 8.3 percent to $460 million during the period from $425 million in the year-ago period.

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Hit by low prices and faced with a poor crop this year, coffee growers want the Government to consider a minimum support price (MSP) or a price compensation scheme for the commodity to alleviate their distress.


Prices Slide

Farmgate price of robusta cherry, which hovered around ₹3,700 per 50-kg bag last year is now at ₹3,000 levels — about 19 percent lower. Similarly, the prices of Arabica parchment, which ruled at ₹9,900 levels per 50-kg bag last year are now at around ₹7,300 levels.

“We urge the Centre to look at an MSP or a support price scheme for coffee to help rescue the growers,” said BS Jairam, President, Karnataka Growers Federation, a body of coffee producers.

Lower output is seen

Representatives of the beleaguered plantation sector are expected to meet the Commerce Minister and officials on Thursday in New Delhi to present their case.

In addition to the low prices, the output — mainly that of robusta — has turned out to be lower than initial expectations in Karnataka, which accounts for around 70 percent of India’s coffee output.

Rising rupee

Besides the volatile global prices, a stronger rupee has also added to the pressure on prices here, said Vishwanath KK, a KGF official, and planter.

Bose Mandanna, a planter in Coorg, said a price compensation mechanism would be beneficial for the growers and help them come out of the crisis. Commodities such as coffee are kept out of the MSP purview mainly because they are considered a cash crop and are largely exported.

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East African nations — Tanzania, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Uganda, Malawi — are upset with the Indian government. Pulse growers in these countries are let-down by the Centre’s sudden decision to shut the door on pulse imports from these origins which have inflicted huge losses on African growers.


After encouraging African nations to produce more for meeting the country’s ever-rising demand, the Indian government imposed quantitative restrictions (QRs) on the import of tur/arhar (pigeon pea) and urad (black matte) and moong (green gram) in August last year which has effectively denied market access to pulses from Africa.

Wooing Africa

The wholly unexpected decision (from the African side) to clamp QRs has meant that African farmers, most of them smallholders like in India, have been denied access to the world’s largest pulse market.

When faced with a serious shortage of the protein-rich legume during the 2014-2016 period, Indian government officials, including the Prime Minister, went around these countries, desperately engaged with the governments there and urged them to produce more and supply more to India.

Taking India to WTO

The anger among the East African governments and pulse growers is palpable. They have incurred heavy financial losses, and there are not many markets for them to service. Some of them are keen to drag India to the WTO and to the courts.

Some are said to be examining the possibility of legally challenging the imposition of QRs on pulse import. India has committed to WTO years ago that QRs will be removed. Some form of retaliatory action from African countries cannot be ruled out.

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Profit margins of tyre manufacturers improved during the December quarter


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After a marginal recovery in the December quarter, profit margins of tyre manufacturing companies are likely to remain under pressure for the next six months due to rising prices of rubber and crude oil derivatives used for synthetic rubber and other raw materials.

Tyre companies led by Apollo Tyres reported a 17 percent year-on-year (y-o-y) jump in consolidated revenue to Rs 40.50 billion, supported largely by a nearly 50 percent yoy growth in the tree-born rubber (TBR) volume due to increasing radicalization and imposition of anti-dumping duty on Chinese tyres.

Consolidated EBIDTA (earnings before interest, debt, tax, and amortization) margins of Apollo Tyres jumped by 180 bps (basis points) on a quarterly basis to 12.3 percent on lower commodity prices and better scale.

Profit margins of tyre manufacturers improved during the December quarter when compared to the September quarter, despite rising prices of crude oil and its derivatives.
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